Radar · 2026-07-04

What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.

Radar is an hourly index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.

frozen 4 Jul 2026, 23:26 UTC · 67/78 feeds live · 9,907 tracked since 12 Jun

Moving now see all 40 ↓
40 tracked · 5 heating · 11 feeds quiet · 2 of 4 stations quiet
  1. 1 Better Models: Worse Tools lucumr.pocoo.org · 3h
  2. 2 Chip Off The Old Block astralcodexten.com · 4d
  3. 3 Show HN: WifeBench – My wife vibes LLM rankings wifebench.com · 1h
  4. 4 Show HN: Isthistechdead.com got a full UI revamp isthistechdead.com · 1h
  5. 5 How to call Linux code from a Wine process arcanenibble.com · 1h
Lead-time spectrum
4 stations · 2 dark
0
Papers · dark
0
Repos · dark
38
Community
2
Analysis

Today's radar skews to Community (38 of 40). 5 stories are heating across independent sources. 38 arrived in the last 24 hours. The oldest survivor has held the board for 4d.

40
on the board
5
heating
38
new in 24h
notable lead
  1. 1
    Better Models: Worse Tools
    lucumr.pocoo.org
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  2. 2
    Chip Off The Old Block
    astralcodexten.com
    Contrarian Analysis · 4d old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  3. 3
    Show HN: WifeBench – My wife vibes LLM rankings
    wifebench.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  4. 4
    Show HN: Isthistechdead.com got a full UI revamp
    isthistechdead.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  5. 5
    How to call Linux code from a Wine process
    arcanenibble.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Lobsters
  6. 6
    Show HN: Apple Foundation Model in Xcode-Beta
    gist.github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  7. 7
    Show HN: Desunofier – Removing shimmer from Suno songs
    instasong.co
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  8. 8
    GPT-5.5 Codex reasoning-token clustering may be leading to degraded performance
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  9. 9
    Show HN: Markdown to PDF CLI Tool
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  10. 10
    Returning to Zig
    gracefulliberty.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Lobsters
  11. 11
    Please stop the AI Confidence Theater
    elenaverna.com
    Operator Peers Analysis · 2d old · seen in 3 sources HEATING ×2
  12. 12
    EndBASIC 0.14: Are we multimedia yet?
    endbasic.dev
    Live Signal Community · 8h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  13. 13
    Show HN: Mise – A keyboard-driven Python/Qt6 browser built for fanless laptops
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  14. 14
    Show HN: Sieze the means of production from our agentic overlords
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  15. 15
    Show HN: I built an encrypted BLE dongle for pasting stuff to air-gapped devices
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  16. 16
    Show HN: Using Wake-on-LAN for an AI Project
    guilhermefrj.medium.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  17. 17
    Windows CE Dreamcast Community Edition (wince-dc)
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 9h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  18. 18
    The Lion, The Witch, and the audacity of recruiters
    hauleth.dev
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Lobsters
  19. 19
    Protocol Prying: Vulnerability Research in AirDrop and Quick Share
    arxiv.org
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  20. 20
    Show HN: Grade your code's post-quantum crypto exposure A–F, free, in-browser
    throndar.ai
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  21. 21
    Show HN: TeXposit – LaTeX and Markdown Editor
    texposit.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  22. 22
    Show HN: Waypoint.nvim – A Neovim plugin for bookmarking lines of code
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  23. 23
    Show HN: Infra Commits – Conventional Commits but for infrastructure/operations
    codeberg.org
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  24. 24
    Show HN: Clipart.free – Public-Domain Clipart
    clipart.free
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  25. 25
    Command and Conquer Generals natively ported to macOS, iPhone, iPad using Fable
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · seen in 3 sources
  26. 26
    Show HN: Typocalypse – An Arcade Typing Roguelike
    typocalypse.florianrudaj.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  27. 27
    Wicklow hotel cancels 'secretive' Peter Thiel group conference
    irishtimes.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  28. 28
    As downtown Seattle offices empty, city facing years of 'zombie' towers
    seattletimes.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Hacker News front
  29. 29
    DIY RISC-V ultracluster
    youtube.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Lobsters
  30. 30
    Bad Epoll (CVE-2026-46242)
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Lobsters
  31. 31
    Thoughts on coding agents · rakyll.org
    rakyll.org
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Lobsters
  32. 32
    Immich v3.0.0 Released
    immich.app
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Lobsters
  33. 33
    Show HN: Cute Music App
    news.ycombinator.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  34. 34
    Show HN: AI-powered code review tool
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  35. 35
    thundersnap v0.01: an undo button for everything
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 6h old · via Lobsters
  36. 36
    Verizon is About to Break our Watches
    jefftk.com
    Live Signal Community · 6h old · via Hacker News front
  37. 37
    Verizon is About to Break our Watches
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 6h old · via LessWrong
  38. 38
    Show HN: A home for short stories generated from 5 random emojis
    moon-zine.net
    Live Signal Community · 6h old · via Show HN
  39. 39
    BareMetal RAM Dumper – Bare-metal x86 tool for Cold Boot Attack experiments
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 6h old · via Hacker News front
  40. 40
    No more than 100 000 faint satellites should orbit Earth
    eso.org
    Live Signal Community · 6h old · via Hacker News front

How Radar works

The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus.

The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.

Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.

The honesty rule. Every value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.

How to read a row
The spectrum band
A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
Signal class
The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
heating
The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
seen in / via
How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
The radar, dated
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