Radar · 2026-07-20

What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.

Radar is an hourly index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.

frozen 20 Jul 2026, 13:20 UTC · 67/78 feeds live · 15,695 tracked since 12 Jun

Moving now see all 40 ↓
40 tracked · 2 heating · 11 feeds quiet · 0 of 4 stations quiet
  1. 1 War – What is it Good For? lesswrong.com · 36m
  2. 2 The EU is about to sell our most sensitive data to the US for visa-free travel edri.org · 1h
  3. 3 Gitolite gitolite.com · 1h
  4. 4 Show HN: After a break up I made an app to fix how I feel apps.apple.com · 1h
  5. 5 Show HN: Restk – a native API client that stores your workspace as files in Git restk.ai · 2h
Lead-time spectrum
flow, last 24h · 0 dark
131
Papers
11
Repos
196
Community
12
Analysis

350 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 131 in papers, 11 in repos, 196 in community, 12 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (37 of 40). 2 stories are heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 17 observed fires is 5h — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 2d ago: caught in HF Daily Papers 2h before Hacker News front carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 7d.

40
on the board
2
heating
38
new on board
5h
median lead
Latest fires — measured lead
  1. Papers → Community +2h lead HF Daily Papers first · then Hacker News front 2d ago
    Qubes OS Security in the Public Record
  2. Papers → Community +20h lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 4d ago
    Mathematics of Data Science
  3. Papers → Community +11d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 6d ago
    Adoption and Impact of Command-Line AI Coding Agents: A Study of Microsoft's Early 2026 Rollout of Claude Code and GitHub Copilot CLI
  1. 1
    War – What is it Good For?
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 36m old · via LessWrong
  2. 2
    The EU is about to sell our most sensitive data to the US for visa-free travel
    edri.org
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Hacker News front
  3. 3
    Gitolite
    gitolite.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Lobsters
  4. 4
    Show HN: After a break up I made an app to fix how I feel
    apps.apple.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  5. 5
    Show HN: Restk – a native API client that stores your workspace as files in Git
    restk.ai
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  6. 6
    Show HN: An end to end SEO audit
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  7. 7
    Show HN: RefundHalt, contest App Store and Google Play refunds automatically
    refundhalt.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  8. 8
    Amazon Music's Artist Conflation
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via LessWrong
  9. 9
    Show HN: I built a pinball repair tool grounded in the real service manuals
    joinflipside.com.au
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  10. 10
    Show HN: Diagraw-draw AWS/GCP/IBM archs with icons, arrows that stay attached
    diagraw.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  11. 11
    Show HN: Picnic Host – No fuss static website hosting
    picnic.host
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  12. 12
    Show HN: Hail.so – Open-source phone, SMS and email for agents and humans, v0.15
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  13. 13
    Show HN: Test harness that found +250 bugs in open-source matching engines
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  14. 14
    Show HN: A comprehensive, filterable list of AI agent jails
    pleasedonotescape.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  15. 15
    Show HN: Trust Vault – encrypted file vaults with flexible key management
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  16. 16
    Airport Simulator
    airport.apunen.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  17. 17
    Building an AmigaOS Development Environment in 2026
    turtleware.eu
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Lobsters
  18. 18
    Show HN: I built a deterministic arena where AI agents fight using code
    agentduel.app
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  19. 19
    Airbus Takes Flight from AWS
    theregister.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  20. 20
    What is Current AI-Risks and the Points?
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via LessWrong
  21. 21
    Show HN: Spoold - Durable curl without a database or broker
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  22. 22
    Show HN: A simple TUI to CRUD Beads tasks
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  23. 23
    Show HN: A free Minecraft skin editor
    hamza.se
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  24. 24
    JSON5E - JSON5 for Humans
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Lobsters
  25. 25
    Minimal Git CI using hooks
    mccd.space
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Lobsters
  26. 26
    What are you doing this week?
    lobste.rs
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Lobsters
  27. 27
    Exploit brokers pay $500k for WordPress RCEs. I found one with GPT5.6 and $25
    slcyber.io
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · seen in 3 sources
  28. 28
    Show HN: A pi extension that adds a /for prompt-loop with $each insertion
    pi.dev
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  29. 29
    Show HN: The Hanoi Tree
    avl-games.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  30. 30
    Anthropic and Dario Amodei
    techemails.com
    Primary Analysis Analysis · 22h old · via Internal Tech Emails
  31. 31
    Pseudpocalypse
    dynomight.net
    Contrarian Analysis · 7d old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  32. 32
    Show HN: Fluxnation, the Fastest FLUX.1 Execution Kernel
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 6h old · via Show HN
  33. 33
    Show HN: Tool to help old Java projects not on modern build systems
    maven-tools.mohants.com
    Live Signal Community · 6h old · via Show HN
  34. 34
    Show HN: GeoChess – open-source geography strategy game
    geochess.org
    Live Signal Community · 6h old · via Show HN
  35. 35
    We're talking past our models; or, How a model defined its "evil" vector as dread
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 6h old · via LessWrong
  36. 36
    Claude found a counterexample to the Jacobian Conjecture
    news.ycombinator.com
    Live Signal Community · 6h old · via Lobsters
  37. 37
    Scanline edge-flag algorithm for antialiasing
    mlab.taik.fi
    Live Signal Community · 6h old · via Lobsters
  38. 38
    Fuzzing for fun - unauthenticated denial of service in snac2
    nullenvk.pl
    Live Signal Community · 6h old · via Lobsters
  39. 39
    I wrote an API client for my water-cooled bed
    tinkering.xyz
    Live Signal Community · 6h old · via Lobsters
  40. 40
    Claude Code uses Bun written in Rust now
    simonwillison.net
    AI Firehose Analysis · 33h old · seen in 4 sources HEATING ×2

How Radar works

The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.

The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.

Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.

The honesty rule. Every value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.

How to read a row
The spectrum band
A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
Signal class
The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
heating
The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
seen in / via
How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
The radar, dated
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