Radar · 2026-07-15

What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.

Radar is an hourly index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.

frozen 15 Jul 2026, 23:14 UTC · 67/78 feeds live · 14,199 tracked since 12 Jun

Moving now see all 40 ↓
40 tracked · 1 heating · 11 feeds quiet · 0 of 4 stations quiet
  1. 1 SQLite should have editions mort.coffee · 4h
  2. 2 Nul Characters in Strings in SQLite sqlite.org · 12m
  3. 3 v2.1.211 github.com · 12m
  4. 4 Recap of bike trip/street interviews across America lesswrong.com · 12m
  5. 5 Metal-Organic Frameworks, Chemistry's New Miracle Materials chemistry.berkeley.edu · 12m
Lead-time spectrum
flow, last 24h · 0 dark
25
Papers
14
Repos
266
Community
32
Analysis

337 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 25 in papers, 14 in repos, 266 in community, 32 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (39 of 40). 1 story is heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 15 observed fires is 5h — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 44h ago: caught in arXiv cs.AI 11d before Hacker News front carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 4h.

40
on the board
1
heating
40
new on board
5h
median lead
Latest fires — measured lead
  1. Papers → Community +11d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 44h ago
    Adoption and Impact of Command-Line AI Coding Agents: A Study of Microsoft's Early 2026 Rollout of Claude Code and GitHub Copilot CLI
  2. Papers → Community +3d lead HF Daily Papers first · then Hacker News front 4d ago
    Billions of Sketches Reveal Hidden Cultural Variation in Human Concepts
  3. Community → Analysis +2h lead Hacker News best first · then OpenAI News 6d ago
    GPT-5.6
  1. 1
    SQLite should have editions
    mort.coffee
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  2. 2
    Nul Characters in Strings in SQLite
    sqlite.org
    Live Signal Community · 12m old · via Hacker News front
  3. 3
    v2.1.211
    github.com
    Live Signal Repos · 12m old · via Claude Code releases
  4. 4
    Recap of bike trip/street interviews across America
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 12m old · via LessWrong
  5. 5
    Metal-Organic Frameworks, Chemistry's New Miracle Materials
    chemistry.berkeley.edu
    Live Signal Community · 12m old · via Hacker News front
  6. 6
    Abstracting effects with continuations
    crowdhailer.me
    Live Signal Community · 18m old · via Lobsters
  7. 7
    The Anti-Mac User Interface (1996)
    nngroup.com
    Live Signal Community · 24m old · via Hacker News front
  8. 8
    Show HN: H5i-Python: Python SDK for Programmable Multi-Agent Orchestration
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 48m old · via Show HN
  9. 9
    P2P local file transfer based on WebRTC
    pairdrop.net
    Live Signal Community · 54m old · via Hacker News front
  10. 10
    Show HN: Swagsocial
    swag.nomaakip.xyz
    Live Signal Community · 54m old · via Show HN
  11. 11
    Show HN: Dropper
    dropper.page
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  12. 12
    Show HN: Pullboard – a work queue for agents, built to run a quant desk
    pullboard.dev
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  13. 13
    Show HN: Redis Rubix Bridge a HTTP API Redis Gateway
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  14. 14
    Speculative Growth and the AI "Bubble" [pdf]
    economics.mit.edu
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  15. 15
    Show HN: Chariot – Elastic Claw Compute
    chariots.sh
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  16. 16
    We don't use AI in any of our design or production processes
    mass-driver.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  17. 17
    Can we rely on law?
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via LessWrong
  18. 18
    Woke nonsense in competitive debate.
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via LessWrong
  19. 19
    A Structural Similarity Between Two Open Corrigibility Questions
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via LessWrong
  20. 20
    Governments, companies, nonprofits should invest in free, open source AI [pdf]
    siegelendowment.org
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  21. 21
    LLM CoTs remain monitorable when being unfaithful requires computation
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via LessWrong
  22. 22
    Show HN: Autoportrait Playground – painting timelapses in the browser
    philipweiss.net
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  23. 23
    AI Data Centers and the Concentration of Wealth
    schneier.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Lobsters
  24. 24
    Show HN: Impossible to Pass Level 42
    itpl42.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  25. 25
    Show HN: GitHub Contribution Graph Painter
    contributist.stupidity.works
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  26. 26
    Show HN: webcast.social – Got MP3s? Host your own radio show from the browser
    webcast.social
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  27. 27
    Show HN: Firefox in WebAssembly
    developer.puter.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · seen in 2 sources
  28. 28
    Extreme Power Concentration: A Map and Research Directions
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via LessWrong
  29. 29
    Show HN: PostgreSQL Now Supported in DBTrail
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  30. 30
    Show HN: ScreenshotAPIs – screenshot/PDF API with credits that never expire
    screenshotapis.org
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  31. 31
    Show HN: Spellsurf – Create words from words
    spellsurf.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  32. 32
    Show HN: Scrib.ee – A customizable blogging platform I built as a solo developer
    scrib.ee
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  33. 33
    The State of AI Consciousness Research
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via LessWrong
  34. 34
    Show HN: Vendo (YC S26) – Let your users add their own features to your product
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  35. 35
    Grok Build
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  36. 36
    Show HN: Marketing for Solo Technical Founders
    frhog.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  37. 37
    Show HN: Gate.cat – block an AI coding agent's rm -RF before it runs
    gate.cat
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  38. 38
    Show HN: An incremental build cache for Rust on GHA
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  39. 39
    Show HN: BibleFollow – Scroll the Bible instead of social media
    biblefollow.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  40. 40
    Third-party app stores coming to Google Play next week as Epic settlement withdrawn
    arstechnica.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Lobsters

How Radar works

The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.

The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.

Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.

The honesty rule. Every value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.

How to read a row
The spectrum band
A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
Signal class
The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
heating
The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
seen in / via
How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
The radar, dated
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