Radar · 2026-07-16

What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.

Radar is an hourly index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.

frozen 16 Jul 2026, 23:12 UTC · 67/78 feeds live · 14,817 tracked since 12 Jun

Moving now see all 40 ↓
40 tracked · 2 heating · 11 feeds quiet · 0 of 4 stations quiet
  1. 1 Pseudpocalypse dynomight.net · 3d
  2. 2 My car's OTA update broke Android Auto, and it's a indictment of modern software imdanielkendall.com · 42m
  3. 3 Show HN: Mojibake – a low-level Unicode library written in C mojibake.zaerl.com · 42m
  4. 4 The Little Book of Reinforcement Learning github.com · 48m
  5. 5 FIFA World Cup 2026 Data Portraits wc26.bogachev.fr · 54m
Lead-time spectrum
flow, last 24h · 0 dark
334
Papers
14
Repos
279
Community
29
Analysis

656 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 334 in papers, 14 in repos, 279 in community, 29 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (39 of 40). 2 stories are heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 16 observed fires is 11h — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 0m ago: caught in arXiv cs.AI 20h before Hacker News front carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 3d.

40
on the board
2
heating
39
new on board
11h
median lead
Latest fires — measured lead
  1. Papers → Community +20h lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 0m ago
    Mathematics of Data Science
  2. Papers → Community +11d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 3d ago
    Adoption and Impact of Command-Line AI Coding Agents: A Study of Microsoft's Early 2026 Rollout of Claude Code and GitHub Copilot CLI
  3. Papers → Community +3d lead HF Daily Papers first · then Hacker News front 5d ago
    Billions of Sketches Reveal Hidden Cultural Variation in Human Concepts
  1. 1
    Pseudpocalypse
    dynomight.net
    Contrarian Analysis · 3d old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  2. 2
    My car's OTA update broke Android Auto, and it's a indictment of modern software
    imdanielkendall.com
    Live Signal Community · 42m old · via Hacker News front
  3. 3
    Show HN: Mojibake – a low-level Unicode library written in C
    mojibake.zaerl.com
    Live Signal Community · 42m old · via Show HN
  4. 4
    The Little Book of Reinforcement Learning
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 48m old · via Hacker News front
  5. 5
    FIFA World Cup 2026 Data Portraits
    wc26.bogachev.fr
    Live Signal Community · 54m old · via Hacker News front
  6. 6
    Show HN: ReasonGate- An explainable gate that blocks LLM prompt injection
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 54m old · seen in 2 sources
  7. 7
    Microsoft Comic Chat is now open source
    opensource.microsoft.com
    Live Signal Community · 7h old · seen in 4 sources HEATING ×2
  8. 8
    The Zilog Z80 has turned 50
    goliath32.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Lobsters
  9. 9
    'Likweli': A new monkey species discovered in the Congo Basin
    news.yale.edu
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Hacker News front
  10. 10
    Show HN: Vektorgeist- A platform for AI operators and their agent's
    vektorgeist.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  11. 11
    Show HN: HW/SW co-design blueprint for fault recovery in LLM training
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  12. 12
    Ring-Zero: Scaling Zero RL to a Trillion Parameters for Emergent Reasoning
    arxiv.org
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  13. 13
    Show HN: Play Online HP48G(X) Calculator Games
    jmapp.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  14. 14
    Show HN: Darby, a Hugo docs theme with in-browser AI Q&A (no back end, no keys)
    iamit.in
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  15. 15
    Show HN: A multi-location vending machine operations portal
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  16. 16
    Show HN: Nutshot Simulator – 31 days, 59K prompts, 142M tokens, ~$23K of Claude
    nutshotsimulator.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  17. 17
    Show HN: SeekinWeb – Check if AI agents can read your website
    seekinweb.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  18. 18
    Help us launch AI safety university groups by referring potential founders
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via LessWrong
  19. 19
    How (not) to fundraise from Anthropic staff
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via LessWrong
  20. 20
    Show HN: I built an offline PDF editor for Android, 25 tools, no server, no ads
    play.google.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  21. 21
    I would only bet at 30% on meeting grabby aliens
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via LessWrong
  22. 22
    Show HN: HeimWall – Catch secrets before you paste them into Claude or Cursor
    heimwall.ai
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  23. 23
    Timeline Scan – AI fixes the dates on your scanned photos
    timelinescan.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  24. 24
    Helium escaping from atmosphere of nearby rocky exoplanet in a habitable zone
    science.org
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  25. 25
    Show HN: Libretto PR agents – Automatically fix failing playwright scripts
    libretto.sh
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · seen in 2 sources
  26. 26
    Show HN: CreditKit, a Stripe usage-credits engine I kept rebuilding
    youngalgy.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  27. 27
    LM Studio Bionic: the AI agent for open models
    lmstudio.ai
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  28. 28
    The privacy problems hidden in your period tracker
    bbc.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  29. 29
    Show HN: Bonebox-01 – 29KB bare metal x86 OS (80 KiB, built to kill Tiny Core)
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  30. 30
    Show HN: I open-sourced a macOS native Markdown rendering engine
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  31. 31
    $100 AI Music Video: Claude Fable 5 vs. GPT-5.6 Sol
    tryai.dev
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  32. 32
    Show HN: Animated map of US railroad and population growth
    app.honeycombmaps.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  33. 33
    Show HN: Rudo - A small, elegant dock for Wayland
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  34. 34
    Show HN: A continuity checker for novels, tested on the Holmes canon
    novilot.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  35. 35
    Show HN: BotTrade – a replayable benchmark for autonomous trading agents
    bot-trade.org
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  36. 36
    Show HN: Makefile tutorial that runs make in the browser
    sandbox.bio
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  37. 37
    Show HN: Puffgres logically replicates Postgres entities in turbopuffer
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  38. 38
    Show HN: Book a Billboard in NYC Times Square
    bookabillboard.today
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  39. 39
    Show HN: Be the ChatBOT
    bethechatbot.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  40. 40
    We're Going to Make Out Like Bandits
    rocketpoweredjetpants.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Lobsters

How Radar works

The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.

The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.

Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.

The honesty rule. Every value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.

How to read a row
The spectrum band
A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
Signal class
The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
heating
The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
seen in / via
How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
The radar, dated
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