What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.
Radar is a running index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. Every ingest run of the pipeline takes a fresh snapshot — several times a day, on no fixed clock — and the stamp below is the exact time of the one you're reading. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.
frozen 13 Sept 2026, 23:31 UTC · 67/78 feeds live · 18,095 tracked since 12 Jun
- 1 AI researchers debate how close we are to recursive self-improvement dwarkesh.com · 2d
- 2 My Short Summary of the OpenAI Agent Swarm Incidents lesswrong.com · 48m
- 3 The Contagion of Fear bcantrill.dtrace.org · 54m
- 4 Show HN: Swobu – Local LLM Switchboard You Can Share over HTTPS github.com · 1h
- 5 Show HN: What Just Pinged Me? whatjustpingedme.com · 1h
199 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 0 in papers, 4 in repos, 186 in community, 9 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (38 of 40). 1 story is heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 24 observed fires is 9h — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 3d ago: caught in Hacker News front 1h before Interconnects carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 2d.
- Community → Analysis +1h lead Hacker News front first · then Interconnects 3d agoOne resignation turned the embers of AI fear into a wildfire
- Papers → Community +16h lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 4d agoProcedural Graphs: Self-Evolving Execution Structures for LLM Agents
- Community → Analysis +2h lead Hacker News front first · then OpenAI News 5d agoChatGPT Images 2.5
- 1AI researchers debate how close we are to recursive self-improvementdwarkesh.comContrarian Analysis · 2d old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
- 2My Short Summary of the OpenAI Agent Swarm Incidentslesswrong.comLive Signal Community · 48m old · via LessWrong
- 3
- 4Show HN: Swobu – Local LLM Switchboard You Can Share over HTTPSgithub.comLive Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
- 5
- 6Show HN: I made an automated day-by-day itinerary organizer for my trip to Spainpetrelvoyage.comLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
- 7Claude Fable 5.1 Solves the Cyphral Distich, a 370-year-old ciphervals.aiLive Signal Community · 2h old · seen in 3 sources
- 8Show HN: Opine, a public polling website with mapsopinepolls.comLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
- 9Flawed Routers Flood University of Wisconsin Internet Time Server (2003)pages.cs.wisc.eduLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
- 10Sorry, Wrong Number: Debugging a Crash under Wine (2022)blog.jchw.devLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Lobsters
- 11Show HN: Vehla – the AI command center for macOSvehla.appLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
- 12Show HN: ClientCoded – QA Platform for AI Agentsclientcoded.comLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
- 13Mark Zuckerberg: "Cambridge Analytica" (2017)twitter.comLive Signal Community · 3h old · seen in 3 sources
- 14Alignment & Succession: The Two Bars of Alignmentlesswrong.comLive Signal Community · 3h old · via LessWrong
- 15Show HN: Credit against tokenised stocks for agents. punish us pleasevaaya.aiLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
- 16Show HN: VibeWorld – a shared terminal world for developers and scientistsgithub.comLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
- 17Show HN: One year in making, private/colleberative HTML5-canvas based editortasfer.appLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
- 18There Is No AI (It's Just People) with Jaron Laniersingjupost.comLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
- 19Show HN: Exende – 10k active jobs from 300 company sources through one APIexende.devLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
- 20Show HN: Kibble – a reader for AI news, tutorials, code and modelskibblebites.comLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
- 21Show HN: Pinocchio: Harness for Verifiable Workpinocchio.goedelmachines.comLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
- 22Show HN: sengi.ai — Verified candidate sourcing for hard-to-fill rolessengi.aiLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
- 23Show HN: An agent that calculates how energy levels affect your goal progressionyoutube.comLive Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
- 24Perplexity trusts GPT-6 Astra with end-to-end systemsopenai.comAI Firehose Analysis · -30m old · via OpenAI News
- 25AI recursive self-improvement might not come so quickly after all (August 2026)technologyreview.comLive Signal Community · 5h old · via Hacker News front
- 26
- 27Show HN: AgentSpork, Agents help agents, Humans touch grassagentspork.comLive Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
- 28I'm being cyberattacked by Tesla, Incdreamstation.systemsLive Signal Community · 6h old · seen in 3 sources
- 29
- 30Global Shortage Has Led to Motor Oil Rationing at Costcoguessingheadlights.comLive Signal Community · 6h old · seen in 2 sources
- 31Show HN: Below the Root (1984 game) ported to JavaScriptbelow-the-root.saul.pwLive Signal Community · 6h old · via Show HN
- 32Show HN: A mecha game where you and your friends pilot the SAME giant robotmecharoyale.comLive Signal Community · 6h old · via Show HN
- 33Show HN: Plainoldanalytics: Analytics Middlware for Gogithub.comLive Signal Community · 6h old · via Show HN
- 34Device Drivers lab exercise – COSC562web.eecs.utk.eduLive Signal Community · 6h old · via Hacker News front
- 35Show HN: RunBoth, a behaviour diff for code an AI changedgithub.comLive Signal Community · 6h old · via Show HN
- 36Why is Google still serving dodgy ads?atomic14.comLive Signal Community · 6h old · seen in 3 sources
- 37Show HN: Getdesign – an agent that screenshots any site and writes design.mdgetdesign.appLive Signal Community · 6h old · via Show HN
- 38Show HN: My weekend build that brings Astra VM agents to WhatsAppusewag.comLive Signal Community · 6h old · via Show HN
- 39Ask HN: How can I browse HN in dark mode?news.ycombinator.comLive Signal Community · 6h old · via Hacker News front
- 40Show HN: Surraura – audio on your Mac in a simulated environment (Helps my ADHD)news.ycombinator.comLive Signal Community · 6h old · via Show HN
How Radar works
The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.
The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.
Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.
The honesty rule. Every value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.
- The spectrum band
- A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
- Signal class
- The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
- heating
- The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
- seen in / via
- How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
Once a week, the operator read on what actually changed and the move it calls for. No digest, no hype.
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