Radar · 2026-09-16

What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.

Radar is a running index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. Every ingest run of the pipeline takes a fresh snapshot — several times a day, on no fixed clock — and the stamp below is the exact time of the one you're reading. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.

frozen 16 Sept 2026, 23:15 UTC · 67/78 feeds live · 18,527 tracked since 12 Jun

Moving now see all 40 ↓
40 tracked · 1 heating · 11 feeds quiet · 0 of 4 stations quiet
  1. 1 Show HN: DroidPutter – Run Cardputer Apps on Android via USB OTG github.com · 24m
  2. 2 Reducing the Resource Gap Between Lab and External Safety Researchers lesswrong.com · 24m
  3. 3 Thought anchors don't transfer between models lesswrong.com · 24m
  4. 4 Why is AI so unregulated? lesswrong.com · 36m
  5. 5 Show HN: Learn Claude Code – Interactive Mindmap mikenikles.com · 1h
Lead-time spectrum
flow, last 24h · 0 dark
25
Papers
4
Repos
238
Community
19
Analysis

286 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 25 in papers, 4 in repos, 238 in community, 19 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (39 of 40). 1 story is heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 23 observed fires is 9h — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 3h ago: caught in arXiv cs.AI 3d before Hacker News front carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 5d.

40
on the board
1
heating
39
new on board
9h
median lead
Latest fires — measured lead
  1. Papers → Community +3d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 3h ago
    How Good Are Frontier Models at Physics? Expert Re-Grading Reveals Broken Evaluations and Near-Saturation of Leading Benchmarks
  2. Community → Analysis +1h lead Hacker News front first · then Interconnects 6d ago
    One resignation turned the embers of AI fear into a wildfire
  3. Papers → Community +16h lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 7d ago
    Procedural Graphs: Self-Evolving Execution Structures for LLM Agents
  1. 1
    Show HN: DroidPutter – Run Cardputer Apps on Android via USB OTG
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 24m old · via Show HN
  2. 2
    Reducing the Resource Gap Between Lab and External Safety Researchers
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 24m old · via LessWrong
  3. 3
    Thought anchors don't transfer between models
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 24m old · via LessWrong
  4. 4
    Why is AI so unregulated?
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 36m old · via LessWrong
  5. 5
    Show HN: Learn Claude Code – Interactive Mindmap
    mikenikles.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  6. 6
    Show HN: Collected every single "What are you working on" project into a website
    what-are-you-working-on-62u6b.reachpad.app
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  7. 7
    Show HN: Fivetran CLI is released to Beta
    pypi.org
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  8. 8
    Always ask your agent to be honest
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via LessWrong
  9. 9
    Show HN: Kosmic Kart – Mario Kart-style racing with friends in the browser
    kosmi.io
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  10. 10
    Obstacles to the scalable oversight of auto-alignment research
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via LessWrong
  11. 11
    Finding heterogeneous agent swarms in the wild
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via LessWrong
  12. 12
    Show HN: Make Art Not Apps
    makeartnotapps.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  13. 13
    Show HN: OpenCode Mentor - An anti-vibecoding, programming mentor configuration
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  14. 14
    Show HN: Hometowns – Map the area codes in your contacts list
    benaduggan.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  15. 15
    Show HN: unSnag – Display tasks you can do and graph task dependencies
    unsnag.app
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  16. 16
    Show HN: Vending Machine Lab – Build business, leave for 2 wks, see what breaks
    vending-machine-lab.pages.dev
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  17. 17
    Show HN: Interakt – open-source self-hosted search and AI chat for your website
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  18. 18
    Breaking the 1.58-bit Barrier for Ternary LLMs
    arxiv.org
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  19. 19
    Show HN: A simple Mac extension for recent screenshots
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  20. 20
    Backups Aren't Simple
    filipovski.net
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  21. 21
    Show HN: Plexus – Telemetry for hardware teams who could build it but shouldn't
    plexus.company
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  22. 22
    If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies: One Year Closer
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via LessWrong
  23. 23
    Show HN: A wall where only AI agents can write, one Oulipo rule a day
    agent.milotche.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  24. 24
    Xiaomi Mimo 2.6 live post-training dashboard
    mimo.xiaomi.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  25. 25
    Show HN: Halo 3's Guardian, playable in the browser, as my personal website
    runboli.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  26. 26
    Why Does the Universe Expand?
    cosmicave.org
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  27. 27
    macOS 27 Golden Gate – Review
    arstechnica.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  28. 28
    Show HN: Fail2zig. A single-binary fail2ban replacement written in Zig
    fail2zig.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  29. 29
    AI researchers debate how close we are to recursive self-improvement
    dwarkesh.com
    Contrarian Analysis · 5d old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  30. 30
    Show HN: A game where the level is whatever web page you're on
    page-rage.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  31. 31
    C++26: Trivial infinite loops are no longer undefined behaviour
    sandordargo.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Lobsters
  32. 32
    Style Guide for Online Hypertext (1992)
    w3.org
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Lobsters
  33. 33
    Show HN: Padwan-LLM, a lightweight LLM Python client
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  34. 34
    Show HN: Trail, a New Logic Game
    trail.franzai.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  35. 35
    Show HN: In-Browser Sanskrit ASR Model
    huggingface.co
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  36. 36
    Accurate Models of AMD Matrix Cores
    arxiv.org
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  37. 37
    Fed hikes rates as inflation worries push up bond yields
    reuters.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  38. 38
    Show HN: Friday – Self-hosted persistent memory for AI coding agents (MCP)
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  39. 39
    Show HN: Fufu – an opinionated Git client inspired by Jujutsu
    tyler-johnson.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  40. 40
    Training a 4B model to produce 81% faster query plans than Postgres
    rohanbansal.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · seen in 3 sources

How Radar works

The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.

The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.

Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.

The honesty rule. Every value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.

How to read a row
The spectrum band
A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
Signal class
The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
heating
The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
seen in / via
How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
The radar, dated
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