Radar · 2026-10-15

What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.

Radar is a running index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. Every ingest run of the pipeline takes a fresh snapshot — several times a day, on no fixed clock — and the stamp below is the exact time of the one you're reading. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.

frozen 15 Oct 2026, 23:18 UTC · 65/78 feeds live · 17,970 tracked since 12 Jun

Lead-time spectrum
flow, last 24h · 0 dark
25
Papers
6
Repos
290
Community
30
Analysis

351 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 25 in papers, 6 in repos, 290 in community, 30 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (39 of 40). 1 story is heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 28 observed fires is 2d — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 4d ago: caught in arXiv cs.AI 35d before Lobsters carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 7h.

40
on the board
1
heating
40
new on board
2d
median lead
Latest fires — measured lead
  1. Papers → Community +35d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Lobsters 4d ago
    When LLM Decompilers Recompile More and Preserve Less
  2. Papers → Community +7h lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Show HN 6d ago
    Real Long-Term Memory for AI: A 50-Million-Token Window That Is Faster and Cheaper Than Recompute
  3. Repos → Community +14d lead GitHub Trending Python first · then Hacker News front 9d ago
    superdesigndev/treg
  1. 1
    Headwinds Everywhere (in the Chinese AI Safety Field)
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 1h old · via LessWrong
  2. 2
    Show HN: Guess the LLM – read an answer and guess which model wrote it
    guessthellm.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 1h old · via Show HN
  3. 3
    Superhuman charisma is coming, and will be tremendously fun and interesting and cause lots of problems
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 2h old · via LessWrong
  4. 4
    Show HN: Rebuilt our directory of 241 AI tools for hardware engineering
    productflo.io
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
  5. 5
    Show HN: Asked LLM to show the most stereotypical man/woman for each country
    anvaka.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  6. 6
    Show HN: An improved kokoro distillation in 9MB
    huggingface.co
    Live Signal Community ·Models · 2h old · via Show HN
  7. 7
    Show HN: Endo – A Higher-Order Harness
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
  8. 8
    AI #190: Scion of the Times
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via LessWrong
  9. 9
    What’s up with GPT’s welfare?
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 2h old · via LessWrong
  10. 10
    Show HN: A music notation editor Claude can edit while you watch [video]
    youtube.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
  11. 11
    You Should Specify Your Code Unambiguously (and Prove That You Did)
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via LessWrong
  12. 12
    Show HN: Brod – Quick cloud to deploy AI apps
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
  13. 13
    Show HN: Explanations and follow-ons for OpenAI/math
    thecompanygardener.yaks.app
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  14. 14
    Show HN: ReliaMesh – Open-source reliability monitoring for AI agents
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · via Show HN
  15. 15
    Anthropic's unreleased model submits visa applications
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via LessWrong
  16. 16
    v2.1.301
    github.com
    Live Signal Repos ·Tools · 4h old · via Claude Code releases
  17. 17
    Show HN: Luksmith – Mount LUKS Ext4 Drives Natively in Finder on Apple Silicon
    luksmith.app
    Live Signal Community · 36m old · via Show HN
  18. 18
    Show HN: AlwaysGreen – uptime monitoring and status page
    alwaysgreen.tech
    Live Signal Community · 48m old · via Show HN
  19. 19
    Show HN: TRON-069 – mapping the Internet's last-mile management infrastructure
    scadastrangelove.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 54m old · via Show HN
  20. 20
    Show HN: eqMini – Open-source macOS equalizer with per-app controls
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 54m old · via Show HN
  21. 21
    A Chinese Perspective on “On Social Reality in China”
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via LessWrong
  22. 22
    The technical actions needed to ensure the continuity of UTC
    bipm.org
    Live Signal Community · 7h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  23. 23
    Show HN: Byakugan Scan – fast macOS OCR by keeping screen capture in memory
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  24. 24
    Show HN: Drift – Hot air balloon simulator
    hakancn.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  25. 25
    Show HN: Repo Safari – A daily platformer for discovering GitHub projects
    w20labs.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  26. 26
    Show HN: In Memoriam, Web Development
    roygbiv99.neocities.org
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  27. 27
    Show HN: Untangle Unknots in the Browser
    zkingston.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  28. 28
    Show HN: ƜackDown – Win64 Native Markdown Viewer
    bezkom.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  29. 29
    Show HN: Lopper – A Git Worktree Cleaner
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  30. 30
    Show HN: An iOS app to help kids learn to write and read
    apps.apple.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  31. 31
    Show HN: Turbo Lisp – A Common Lisp IDE for macOS and the Terminal
    gitlab.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  32. 32
    Show HN: Takes Takes – a different chess puzzle game
    takestakes.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  33. 33
    Show HN: Ts-chef – CyberChef-style tools and visual pipelines for VS Code
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  34. 34
    Show HN: Jamfetti – A tool for anyone to jam out, no music experience needed
    jamfetti.boondoggle.studio
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  35. 35
    New Withings Users Must Pay $99/Year for Apple Health Syncing
    support.withings.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  36. 36
    Show HN: Slop City, a FOSS game that embeds social media posts
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  37. 37
    "I'm a Lawyer." Said the White House Press Secretary. Florida Would Like a Word
    chazstevens.substack.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  38. 38
    Forgejo v17.0 is available
    forgejo.org
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Lobsters
  39. 39
    Show HN: Where waves come from – an interactive explainer of ocean swell
    ripple-58s.pages.dev
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  40. 40
    Gleam case exhaustiveness, as a fan
    oyster.pckt.blog
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Lobsters

How Radar works

The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.

The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.

Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.

The classifier. Two judgments on this page are made by a model, not read from the feed log. A small typed classifier (TypeSafe's Jev) answers one question per story — is it about AI? — and stories it judges not to be about AI move to the bottom of the board; nothing is removed. It was checked against 232 hand-labelled titles before it shipped and agreed with 97.8% of them. The same classifier assigns the topic shown on a story and used by the filter above; a topic appears only when the classifier is confident, and at that setting it matched the labels on 115 of 116 stories. Stories without a confident topic are listed under All.

The honesty rule. Every other value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Beyond those two labelled judgments, Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.

How to read a row
The spectrum band
A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
Signal class
The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
heating
The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
seen in / via
How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
The radar, dated
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