What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.
Radar is a running index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. Every ingest run of the pipeline takes a fresh snapshot — several times a day, on no fixed clock — and the stamp below is the exact time of the one you're reading. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.
frozen 15 Oct 2026, 23:18 UTC · 65/78 feeds live · 17,970 tracked since 12 Jun
- 1 Headwinds Everywhere (in the Chinese AI Safety Field) lesswrong.com · 1h
- 2 Show HN: Guess the LLM – read an answer and guess which model wrote it guessthellm.com · 1h
- 3 Superhuman charisma is coming, and will be tremendously fun and interesting and cause lots of problems lesswrong.com · 2h
- 4 Show HN: Rebuilt our directory of 241 AI tools for hardware engineering productflo.io · 2h
- 5 Show HN: Asked LLM to show the most stereotypical man/woman for each country anvaka.github.io · 2h
351 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 25 in papers, 6 in repos, 290 in community, 30 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (39 of 40). 1 story is heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 28 observed fires is 2d — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 4d ago: caught in arXiv cs.AI 35d before Lobsters carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 7h.
- Papers → Community +35d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Lobsters 4d agoWhen LLM Decompilers Recompile More and Preserve Less
- Papers → Community +7h lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Show HN 6d agoReal Long-Term Memory for AI: A 50-Million-Token Window That Is Faster and Cheaper Than Recompute
- Repos → Community +14d lead GitHub Trending Python first · then Hacker News front 9d agosuperdesigndev/treg
- 1Headwinds Everywhere (in the Chinese AI Safety Field)lesswrong.comLive Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 1h old · via LessWrong
- 2Show HN: Guess the LLM – read an answer and guess which model wrote itguessthellm.comLive Signal Community ·Tools · 1h old · via Show HN
- 3Superhuman charisma is coming, and will be tremendously fun and interesting and cause lots of problemslesswrong.comLive Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 2h old · via LessWrong
- 4Show HN: Rebuilt our directory of 241 AI tools for hardware engineeringproductflo.ioLive Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
- 5Show HN: Asked LLM to show the most stereotypical man/woman for each countryanvaka.github.ioLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
- 6Show HN: An improved kokoro distillation in 9MBhuggingface.coLive Signal Community ·Models · 2h old · via Show HN
- 7Show HN: Endo – A Higher-Order Harnessgithub.comLive Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
- 8
- 9What’s up with GPT’s welfare?lesswrong.comLive Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 2h old · via LessWrong
- 10Show HN: A music notation editor Claude can edit while you watch [video]youtube.comLive Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
- 11You Should Specify Your Code Unambiguously (and Prove That You Did)lesswrong.comLive Signal Community · 3h old · via LessWrong
- 12Show HN: Brod – Quick cloud to deploy AI appsgithub.comLive Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
- 13Show HN: Explanations and follow-ons for OpenAI/maththecompanygardener.yaks.appLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
- 14Show HN: ReliaMesh – Open-source reliability monitoring for AI agentsgithub.comLive Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · via Show HN
- 15Anthropic's unreleased model submits visa applicationslesswrong.comLive Signal Community · 4h old · via LessWrong
- 16
- 17Show HN: Luksmith – Mount LUKS Ext4 Drives Natively in Finder on Apple Siliconluksmith.appLive Signal Community · 36m old · via Show HN
- 18Show HN: AlwaysGreen – uptime monitoring and status pagealwaysgreen.techLive Signal Community · 48m old · via Show HN
- 19Show HN: TRON-069 – mapping the Internet's last-mile management infrastructurescadastrangelove.github.ioLive Signal Community · 54m old · via Show HN
- 20Show HN: eqMini – Open-source macOS equalizer with per-app controlsgithub.comLive Signal Community · 54m old · via Show HN
- 21A Chinese Perspective on “On Social Reality in China”lesswrong.comLive Signal Community · 1h old · via LessWrong
- 22The technical actions needed to ensure the continuity of UTCbipm.orgLive Signal Community · 7h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
- 23Show HN: Byakugan Scan – fast macOS OCR by keeping screen capture in memorygithub.comLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
- 24
- 25Show HN: Repo Safari – A daily platformer for discovering GitHub projectsw20labs.github.ioLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
- 26Show HN: In Memoriam, Web Developmentroygbiv99.neocities.orgLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
- 27
- 28Show HN: ƜackDown – Win64 Native Markdown Viewerbezkom.github.ioLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
- 29
- 30Show HN: An iOS app to help kids learn to write and readapps.apple.comLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
- 31Show HN: Turbo Lisp – A Common Lisp IDE for macOS and the Terminalgitlab.comLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
- 32Show HN: Takes Takes – a different chess puzzle gametakestakes.comLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
- 33Show HN: Ts-chef – CyberChef-style tools and visual pipelines for VS Codegithub.comLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
- 34Show HN: Jamfetti – A tool for anyone to jam out, no music experience neededjamfetti.boondoggle.studioLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
- 35New Withings Users Must Pay $99/Year for Apple Health Syncingsupport.withings.comLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
- 36Show HN: Slop City, a FOSS game that embeds social media postsgithub.comLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
- 37"I'm a Lawyer." Said the White House Press Secretary. Florida Would Like a Wordchazstevens.substack.comLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
- 38
- 39Show HN: Where waves come from – an interactive explainer of ocean swellripple-58s.pages.devLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
- 40
How Radar works
The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.
The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.
Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.
The classifier. Two judgments on this page are made by a model, not read from the feed log. A small typed classifier (TypeSafe's Jev) answers one question per story — is it about AI? — and stories it judges not to be about AI move to the bottom of the board; nothing is removed. It was checked against 232 hand-labelled titles before it shipped and agreed with 97.8% of them. The same classifier assigns the topic shown on a story and used by the filter above; a topic appears only when the classifier is confident, and at that setting it matched the labels on 115 of 116 stories. Stories without a confident topic are listed under All.
The honesty rule. Every other value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Beyond those two labelled judgments, Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.
- The spectrum band
- A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
- Signal class
- The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
- heating
- The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
- seen in / via
- How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
Once a week, the operator read on what actually changed and the move it calls for. No digest, no hype.
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