Radar · 2026-10-16

What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.

Radar is a running index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. Every ingest run of the pipeline takes a fresh snapshot — several times a day, on no fixed clock — and the stamp below is the exact time of the one you're reading. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.

frozen 16 Oct 2026, 23:45 UTC · 67/78 feeds live · 18,035 tracked since 12 Jun

Lead-time spectrum
flow, last 24h · 0 dark
308
Papers
6
Repos
214
Community
24
Analysis

552 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 308 in papers, 6 in repos, 214 in community, 24 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (38 of 40). 1 story is heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 28 observed fires is 2d — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 5d ago: caught in arXiv cs.AI 35d before Lobsters carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 9h.

40
on the board
1
heating
40
new on board
2d
median lead
Latest fires — measured lead
  1. Papers → Community +35d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Lobsters 5d ago
    When LLM Decompilers Recompile More and Preserve Less
  2. Papers → Community +7h lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Show HN 7d ago
    Real Long-Term Memory for AI: A 50-Million-Token Window That Is Faster and Cheaper Than Recompute
  3. Repos → Community +14d lead GitHub Trending Python first · then Hacker News front 10d ago
    superdesigndev/treg
  1. 1
    Show HN: Ozil AI – Turn one photo into the viral Ozil goal video
    ozilai.net
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 1h old · via Show HN
  2. 2
    Why harnesses matter for energy (and token) efficiency
    neuralwatt.com
    Live Signal Community ·Infrastructure · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  3. 3
    v2.1.302
    github.com
    Live Signal Repos ·Tools · 3h old · via Claude Code releases
  4. 4
    Show HN: I benchmarked 6 MCP proxies in Claude Code, then built my own
    rabin-a.github.io
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
  5. 5
    Beyond Owls: Subliminal Learning Can Transfer Learned Capabilities and Backdoors
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via LessWrong
  6. 6
    Flux 3 Image Klein: open weights, 5.6B parameters
    bfl.ai
    Live Signal Community ·Models · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  7. 7
    Show HN: Make house walkthrough videos only from photos – TensorPix
    tensorpix.ai
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · via Show HN
  8. 8
    How the Claude Code team does code review
    claude.dev
    Live Signal Community ·Practice · 5h old · via Hacker News front
  9. 9
    You could have invented transformers from memory
    alexwang.ai
    Live Signal Community ·Research · 5h old · via Hacker News front
  10. 10
    Claude reveals ECDSA curve origins
    anthropic.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · seen in 3 sources
  11. 11
    Show HN: Weatherdeck – a read-only status board for AI coding agent lanes
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 5h old · via Show HN
  12. 12
    Llama.cpp on a jailbroken PS5: run any GGUF model natively on the console
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 5h old · via Hacker News front
  13. 13
    Show HN: Camera Controls and Motion for AI Video Prompts
    kapwing.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 5h old · via Show HN
  14. 14
    Anthropic assigned highest junk credit rating in June
    ft.com
    Live Signal Community ·Business · 6h old · via Hacker News front
  15. 15
    Show HN: Fly a Tesla Roadster over parked Teslas before the air runs out
    roadster.pavlin.dev
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  16. 16
    Show HN: Pomoflow – a 1-bit Pomodoro with a todo list that syncs without sign-up
    pomoflow.pages.dev
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  17. 17
    Show HN: Play a 5 minutes match of CS 1.6 1v1 while you wait for your agent
    csfor.fun
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  18. 18
    Show HN: TV Explorer. Improving UI for a Solid IPTV App
    tvexplorer.live
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  19. 19
    There's never been a better time to go into math
    youtube.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Lobsters
  20. 20
    Big Fish: Exploiting a 37-Year-Old Kernel Bug in OpenBSD
    calif.io
    Live Signal Community · 9h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  21. 21
    Show HN: Pogi – AWS, Google Cloud and Azure on your machine, in one binary
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  22. 22
    I never authorized an integration that scans my secrets
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  23. 23
    A semi-scientific account of what makes me happy and/or what happiness makes me do, etc
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via LessWrong
  24. 24
    The NIST Elliptic Curves Seeds Bounty Has Been Claimed
    words.filippo.io
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Lobsters
  25. 25
    Show HN: CoastMath: (Open Source) Personal Finance and Retirement Planner
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  26. 26
    Show HN: Gondwana, a code-first C#/.NET game engine with WebGL
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  27. 27
    The Fatal Flaw of 911
    themarshallproject.org
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  28. 28
    Show HN: Donut Browser, the most private anti-detect browser
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  29. 29
    Show HN: Sill for Android – control your Mac's windows from an Android phone
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  30. 30
    Show HN: Stoke Money – Personal finance app built around a cash flow forecast
    stoke.money
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · seen in 2 sources
  31. 31
    Getting Canceled
    youtube.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Lobsters
  32. 32
    C++26: The New Debugging Header
    sandordargo.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Hacker News front
  33. 33
    Show HN: Putaway – sorts your Mac's Downloads into the folders you have
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  34. 34
    Introducing GNOME OS Preview
    blogs.gnome.org
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Lobsters
  35. 35
    Quoting Addy Osmani, Morgan Westlee Lunt, and Qing Wang
    simonwillison.net
    AI Firehose Analysis · 2h old · via Simon Willison
  36. 36
    Show HN: Tinywm – a scrolling window manager for macOS, inspired by Niri
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  37. 37
    Show HN: 2026 Midterms Tracker blends polls and Kalshi/Poymarket odds
    pressaudit.org
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  38. 38
    Show HN: Webhix – Self-hosted webhook inspector in a single binary
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 6h old · via Show HN
  39. 39
    eBay Restricts Listings of Radio Equipment, but Exempts Ham-Band-Only Gear
    arrl.org
    Live Signal Community · 6h old · via Hacker News front
  40. 40
    We're sunsetting Codeberg Pages v2
    blog.codeberg.org
    Live Signal Community · 6h old · via Lobsters

How Radar works

The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.

The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.

Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.

The classifier. Two judgments on this page are made by a model, not read from the feed log. A small typed classifier (TypeSafe's Jev) answers one question per story — is it about AI? — and stories it judges not to be about AI move to the bottom of the board; nothing is removed. It was checked against 232 hand-labelled titles before it shipped and agreed with 97.8% of them. The same classifier assigns the topic shown on a story and used by the filter above; a topic appears only when the classifier is confident, and at that setting it matched the labels on 115 of 116 stories. Stories without a confident topic are listed under All.

The honesty rule. Every other value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Beyond those two labelled judgments, Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.

How to read a row
The spectrum band
A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
Signal class
The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
heating
The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
seen in / via
How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
The radar, dated
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