Radar · 2026-10-20

What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.

Radar is a running index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. Every ingest run of the pipeline takes a fresh snapshot — several times a day, on no fixed clock — and the stamp below is the exact time of the one you're reading. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.

frozen 20 Oct 2026, 23:45 UTC · 67/78 feeds live · 17,795 tracked since 12 Jun

Lead-time spectrum
flow, last 24h · 0 dark
347
Papers
2
Repos
282
Community
32
Analysis

663 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 347 in papers, 2 in repos, 282 in community, 32 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (38 of 40). 4 stories are heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 27 observed fires is 2d — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 9d ago: caught in arXiv cs.AI 35d before Lobsters carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 5d.

40
on the board
4
heating
39
new on board
2d
median lead
Latest fires — measured lead
  1. Papers → Community +35d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Lobsters 9d ago
    When LLM Decompilers Recompile More and Preserve Less
  2. Papers → Community +7h lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Show HN 11d ago
    Real Long-Term Memory for AI: A 50-Million-Token Window That Is Faster and Cheaper Than Recompute
  3. Repos → Community +14d lead GitHub Trending Python first · then Hacker News front 14d ago
    superdesigndev/treg
  1. 1
    Show HN: Pace or Pause – Explore where people stand on AI development
    paceorpause.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 24m old · via Show HN
  2. 2
    Anthropic Does Not Understand Why Its Draft Bill Was Unacceptable and Troubling
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 36m old · via LessWrong
  3. 3
    Show HN: Melra – pause ambiguous MCP writes instead of blindly retrying
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 1h old · via Show HN
  4. 4
    Updatelessness explained
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via LessWrong
  5. 5
    Show HN: Flyte devbox now runs GPU workloads on Apple Silicon
    union.ai
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
  6. 6
    Show HN: MCP Census – a live change feed for 48,797 MCP servers
    mcpcensus.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
  7. 7
    Why do fictional jailbreaks work?
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 2h old · via LessWrong
  8. 8
    Show HN: Tenbri, a log AI agents can’t secretly rewrite
    tenbri.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
  9. 9
    v2.1.305
    github.com
    Live Signal Repos ·Tools · 3h old · via Claude Code releases
  10. 10
    Show HN: Agent-Zero – Starter template for AI-native coding projects
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
  11. 11
    How to Train Your Robot
    construction-physics.com
    Contrarian Analysis ·Practice · 5d old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  12. 12
    On AI writing
    bolkunov.com
    Live Signal Community ·Practice · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  13. 13
    Show HN: Modula-9, a Wirth-family language designed for auditing AI-written code
    modula9.net
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · via Show HN
  14. 14
    Show HN: Apple Reminders MCP – native read/write via ReminderKit
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 5h old · via Show HN
  15. 15
    Show HN: A daily game where the goal is to be unpredictable to an LLM
    notbotgame.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 5h old · via Show HN
  16. 16
    Show HN: MultiTrack v1.3 for Mac – insanely easy music making software
    aquariuscomputer.co
    Live Signal Community · 42m old · via Show HN
  17. 17
    leanin: A Tokio-inspired concurrency library for Lean 4, with machine-checked proofs
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 42m old · via Lobsters
  18. 18
    The Other Epidemic: Trying to get off benzodiazepines
    thebeliever.net
    Live Signal Community · 42m old · via Hacker News front
  19. 19
    Show HN: Lox Language Visualizer Based on Crafting Interpreters
    shivfitzpatrick.com
    Live Signal Community · 48m old · via Show HN
  20. 20
    Show HN: Visual cdecl – edit a C declaration as English, code, or a graph
    github.avestura.dev
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  21. 21
    Upcoming Critical PHP Security Release
    php.net
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Lobsters
  22. 22
    Feds suspect ransom negotiator ran ShinyHunters extortion site
    krebsonsecurity.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Hacker News front
  23. 23
    Show HN: AHP Matrix, local, open-source Analytic Hierarchy Process decision tool
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  24. 24
    Show HN: Axon – Obsidian plugin that finds the todos buried in your notes
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  25. 25
    Making a VGA Driver in SystemVerilog
    lukaswerner.com
    Live Signal Community · 8h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  26. 26
    Show HN: Better search of public data, strategystudio.org
    strategystudio.org
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  27. 27
    Show HN: MediaIndex: Search, count and edit your photos offline on a Mac
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  28. 28
    Show HN: Tapelark – Record Linux app audio and radio as tagged, split tracks
    tapelark.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  29. 29
    Show HN: Piola – A new Mac menu bar timer with pull, dial, and keyboard control
    piola.ideascollective.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  30. 30
    Show HN: CLI for Vedic Astrological Charts (local calculations)
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  31. 31
    thebroken Episode 1 (2003)
    youtube.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Lobsters
  32. 32
    Why do we need ud2 when int 6 is right there?
    devblogs.microsoft.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Lobsters
  33. 33
    Show HN: TapRev – Your phone rings for every sale, across 11 payment platforms
    apps.apple.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  34. 34
    How I discovered an Exoplanet & the science apocalypse
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via LessWrong
  35. 35
    Show HN: Classic Ads – A Chrome extension I made to make ads look like ads again
    classic-ads.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  36. 36
    Do minor curl vulnerabilities in the open
    daniel.haxx.se
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Lobsters
  37. 37
    How I got over 300 Tor exit nodes removed
    kaba.cx
    Live Signal Community · 10h old · seen in 3 sources HEATING ×2
  38. 38
    Show HN: qrsticks
    qrsticks.greg.technology
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  39. 39
    Jepsen: Orkes Conductor 5.3.2
    jepsen.io
    Live Signal Community · 11h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  40. 40
    Academics have a duty to defend open knowledge systems like Wikipedia
    blogs.lse.ac.uk
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Hacker News front

How Radar works

The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.

The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.

Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.

The classifier. Two judgments on this page are made by a model, not read from the feed log. A small typed classifier (TypeSafe's Jev) answers one question per story — is it about AI? — and stories it judges not to be about AI move to the bottom of the board; nothing is removed. It was checked against 232 hand-labelled titles before it shipped and agreed with 97.8% of them. The same classifier assigns the topic shown on a story and used by the filter above; a topic appears only when the classifier is confident, and at that setting it matched the labels on 115 of 116 stories. Stories without a confident topic are listed under All.

The honesty rule. Every other value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Beyond those two labelled judgments, Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.

How to read a row
The spectrum band
A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
Signal class
The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
heating
The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
seen in / via
How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
The radar, dated
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