Radar · 2026-10-19

What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.

Radar is a running index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. Every ingest run of the pipeline takes a fresh snapshot — several times a day, on no fixed clock — and the stamp below is the exact time of the one you're reading. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.

frozen 19 Oct 2026, 23:56 UTC · 67/78 feeds live · 17,531 tracked since 12 Jun

Lead-time spectrum
flow, last 24h · 0 dark
11
Papers
5
Repos
258
Community
25
Analysis

299 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 11 in papers, 5 in repos, 258 in community, 25 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (37 of 40). 3 stories are heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 27 observed fires is 2d — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 8d ago: caught in arXiv cs.AI 35d before Lobsters carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 4d.

40
on the board
3
heating
38
new on board
2d
median lead
Latest fires — measured lead
  1. Papers → Community +35d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Lobsters 8d ago
    When LLM Decompilers Recompile More and Preserve Less
  2. Papers → Community +7h lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Show HN 10d ago
    Real Long-Term Memory for AI: A 50-Million-Token Window That Is Faster and Cheaper Than Recompute
  3. Repos → Community +14d lead GitHub Trending Python first · then Hacker News front 13d ago
    superdesigndev/treg
  1. 1
    Human vs AI in Go in 2026: Lessons for superintelligence?
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 36m old · via LessWrong
  2. 2
    Show HN: MediationBench – testing AI mediators in 62 simulated conflicts
    mediationbench.com
    Live Signal Community ·Research · 48m old · via Show HN
  3. 3
    What do the other 80 percent mean?
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 48m old · via LessWrong
  4. 4
    A Video by Adam Conover and the “A.I. Distraction Narrative”
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 54m old · via LessWrong
  5. 5
    Show HN: barn.app – a digital stream deck like agent monitoring tool for macOS
    barn.ope.cool
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  6. 6
    How to Train Your Robot
    construction-physics.com
    Contrarian Analysis ·Practice · 4d old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  7. 7
    Show HN: Accessibility Context for UI with AI
    typeui.sh
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
  8. 8
    v2.1.304
    github.com
    Live Signal Repos ·Tools · 2h old · via Claude Code releases
  9. 9
    GLM-5.1 Has ~Astra Level CoT Control
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Models · 2h old · via LessWrong
  10. 10
    Show HN: Claude Code skills and hooks that prove a fix's test fails without it
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  11. 11
    Show HN: Craig – A TUI for running parallel coding agents
    craig-cli.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
  12. 12
    Show HN: One-click AI PR review buttons (no API keys, no CI)
    skills.sh
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
  13. 13
    Show HN: Realtime talking avatar running free locally (90+FPS on RTX4090)
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
  14. 14
    Show HN: Taco - LLM compression that gives the same bytes on every CPU and GPU
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · via Show HN
  15. 15
    Show HN: Open-source app that lets LLMs control any iPhone app (no Mac required)
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · via Show HN
  16. 16
    Permanent underclass taxonomy
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via LessWrong
  17. 17
    How is "prosaic aligned AI" supposed to work?
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 4h old · via LessWrong
  18. 18
    Gradient Routing Localizes and Removes Unintended Behaviors in RL
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via LessWrong
  19. 19
    Show HN: Jev in action – task classifier and auto model router in Keen Code
    mochow13.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  20. 20
    Improving the flow of interesting things
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 48m old · via LessWrong
  21. 21
    Show HN: Spacebar – Preview .sqlite3, .geojson, .ipynb and more in the Finder
    spacebar.greg.technology
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  22. 22
    Show HN: Open-source AAS digital twin studio with live PLC data collection
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  23. 23
    Show HN: RoadRash ported to Three.js to run in the browser
    roadrash.pages.dev
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  24. 24
    Show HN: Gitwal – every open-source project mention on X, LinkedIn, Reddit, etc.
    gitwal.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  25. 25
    You Aren't Worried Enough About the Economy
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via LessWrong
  26. 26
    Drupal is now light-years ahead of its reputation
    dri.es
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  27. 27
    Show HN: SiteSolide – Open-source cloud for small software
    sitesolide.fr
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  28. 28
    OpenBSD 8.0 release will have inteldrm/radeondrm/amdgpu drivers from Linux 6.18
    bsd.network
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  29. 29
    Putting Linux on my RTX spark laptop because I don't have a Microsoft account
    josie.lol
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  30. 30
    Speeding up code review with `small-change`
    lethain.com
    Operator Peers Analysis · 2d old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  31. 31
    Show HN: Create commitments that only begin once enough people have signed up
    groupcommit.org
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  32. 32
    Show HN: Flyingcar.pet – a physics simulation of Tesla's flying Roadster stunt
    flyingcar.pet
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  33. 33
    Show HN: Built a starship bay of retro TV dioramas featuring music, 1950–2019
    myretrotunes.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  34. 34
    One Hash Bloom Filters
    calabro.io
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  35. 35
    Show HN: Travel Like a Celebrity
    wherecelebsgo.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  36. 36
    Show HN: Hiding messages as a generative art; open sourcing my code from 2020
    stegano.graphics
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  37. 37
    The Netherlands is building its own Linux OS to break free from Microsoft
    techspot.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Lobsters
  38. 38
    Show HN: Robotics startup with $10–12 meals delivered in SF
    dailys.menu
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  39. 39
    Show HN: I made a tiny 2 MB screenshot tool for Windows (open source)
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  40. 40
    Wine Ported to OpenBSD
    marc.info
    Live Signal Community · 10h old · seen in 4 sources HEATING ×2

How Radar works

The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.

The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.

Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.

The classifier. Two judgments on this page are made by a model, not read from the feed log. A small typed classifier (TypeSafe's Jev) answers one question per story — is it about AI? — and stories it judges not to be about AI move to the bottom of the board; nothing is removed. It was checked against 232 hand-labelled titles before it shipped and agreed with 97.8% of them. The same classifier assigns the topic shown on a story and used by the filter above; a topic appears only when the classifier is confident, and at that setting it matched the labels on 115 of 116 stories. Stories without a confident topic are listed under All.

The honesty rule. Every other value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Beyond those two labelled judgments, Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.

How to read a row
The spectrum band
A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
Signal class
The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
heating
The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
seen in / via
How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
The radar, dated
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