What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.
Radar is a running index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. Every ingest run of the pipeline takes a fresh snapshot — several times a day, on no fixed clock — and the stamp below is the exact time of the one you're reading. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.
frozen 19 Oct 2026, 23:56 UTC · 67/78 feeds live · 17,531 tracked since 12 Jun
- 1 Human vs AI in Go in 2026: Lessons for superintelligence? lesswrong.com · 36m
- 2 Show HN: MediationBench – testing AI mediators in 62 simulated conflicts mediationbench.com · 48m
- 3 What do the other 80 percent mean? lesswrong.com · 48m
- 4 A Video by Adam Conover and the “A.I. Distraction Narrative” lesswrong.com · 54m
- 5 Show HN: barn.app – a digital stream deck like agent monitoring tool for macOS barn.ope.cool · 2h
299 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 11 in papers, 5 in repos, 258 in community, 25 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (37 of 40). 3 stories are heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 27 observed fires is 2d — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 8d ago: caught in arXiv cs.AI 35d before Lobsters carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 4d.
- Papers → Community +35d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Lobsters 8d agoWhen LLM Decompilers Recompile More and Preserve Less
- Papers → Community +7h lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Show HN 10d agoReal Long-Term Memory for AI: A 50-Million-Token Window That Is Faster and Cheaper Than Recompute
- Repos → Community +14d lead GitHub Trending Python first · then Hacker News front 13d agosuperdesigndev/treg
- 1Human vs AI in Go in 2026: Lessons for superintelligence?lesswrong.comLive Signal Community · 36m old · via LessWrong
- 2Show HN: MediationBench – testing AI mediators in 62 simulated conflictsmediationbench.comLive Signal Community ·Research · 48m old · via Show HN
- 3
- 4A Video by Adam Conover and the “A.I. Distraction Narrative”lesswrong.comLive Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 54m old · via LessWrong
- 5Show HN: barn.app – a digital stream deck like agent monitoring tool for macOSbarn.ope.coolLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
- 6How to Train Your Robotconstruction-physics.comContrarian Analysis ·Practice · 4d old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
- 7Show HN: Accessibility Context for UI with AItypeui.shLive Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
- 8
- 9GLM-5.1 Has ~Astra Level CoT Controllesswrong.comLive Signal Community ·Models · 2h old · via LessWrong
- 10Show HN: Claude Code skills and hooks that prove a fix's test fails without itgithub.comLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
- 11Show HN: Craig – A TUI for running parallel coding agentscraig-cli.comLive Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
- 12Show HN: One-click AI PR review buttons (no API keys, no CI)skills.shLive Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
- 13Show HN: Realtime talking avatar running free locally (90+FPS on RTX4090)github.comLive Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
- 14Show HN: Taco - LLM compression that gives the same bytes on every CPU and GPUgithub.comLive Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · via Show HN
- 15Show HN: Open-source app that lets LLMs control any iPhone app (no Mac required)github.comLive Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · via Show HN
- 16
- 17How is "prosaic aligned AI" supposed to work?lesswrong.comLive Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 4h old · via LessWrong
- 18Gradient Routing Localizes and Removes Unintended Behaviors in RLlesswrong.comLive Signal Community · 4h old · via LessWrong
- 19Show HN: Jev in action – task classifier and auto model router in Keen Codemochow13.github.ioLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
- 20Improving the flow of interesting thingslesswrong.comLive Signal Community · 48m old · via LessWrong
- 21Show HN: Spacebar – Preview .sqlite3, .geojson, .ipynb and more in the Finderspacebar.greg.technologyLive Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
- 22Show HN: Open-source AAS digital twin studio with live PLC data collectiongithub.comLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
- 23Show HN: RoadRash ported to Three.js to run in the browserroadrash.pages.devLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
- 24Show HN: Gitwal – every open-source project mention on X, LinkedIn, Reddit, etc.gitwal.comLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
- 25You Aren't Worried Enough About the Economylesswrong.comLive Signal Community · 2h old · via LessWrong
- 26Drupal is now light-years ahead of its reputationdri.esLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Hacker News front
- 27Show HN: SiteSolide – Open-source cloud for small softwaresitesolide.frLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
- 28OpenBSD 8.0 release will have inteldrm/radeondrm/amdgpu drivers from Linux 6.18bsd.networkLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
- 29Putting Linux on my RTX spark laptop because I don't have a Microsoft accountjosie.lolLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
- 30Speeding up code review with `small-change`lethain.comOperator Peers Analysis · 2d old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
- 31Show HN: Create commitments that only begin once enough people have signed upgroupcommit.orgLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
- 32Show HN: Flyingcar.pet – a physics simulation of Tesla's flying Roadster stuntflyingcar.petLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
- 33Show HN: Built a starship bay of retro TV dioramas featuring music, 1950–2019myretrotunes.comLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
- 34
- 35
- 36Show HN: Hiding messages as a generative art; open sourcing my code from 2020stegano.graphicsLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
- 37The Netherlands is building its own Linux OS to break free from Microsofttechspot.comLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Lobsters
- 38Show HN: Robotics startup with $10–12 meals delivered in SFdailys.menuLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
- 39Show HN: I made a tiny 2 MB screenshot tool for Windows (open source)github.comLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
- 40
How Radar works
The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.
The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.
Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.
The classifier. Two judgments on this page are made by a model, not read from the feed log. A small typed classifier (TypeSafe's Jev) answers one question per story — is it about AI? — and stories it judges not to be about AI move to the bottom of the board; nothing is removed. It was checked against 232 hand-labelled titles before it shipped and agreed with 97.8% of them. The same classifier assigns the topic shown on a story and used by the filter above; a topic appears only when the classifier is confident, and at that setting it matched the labels on 115 of 116 stories. Stories without a confident topic are listed under All.
The honesty rule. Every other value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Beyond those two labelled judgments, Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.
- The spectrum band
- A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
- Signal class
- The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
- heating
- The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
- seen in / via
- How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
Once a week, the operator read on what actually changed and the move it calls for. No digest, no hype.
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