Radar · 2026-08-06

What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.

Radar is an hourly index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.

frozen 6 Aug 2026, 15:33 UTC · 66/78 feeds live · 19,354 tracked since 12 Jun

Lead-time spectrum
flow, last 24h · 0 dark
474
Papers
1
Repos
219
Community
27
Analysis

721 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 474 in papers, 1 in repos, 219 in community, 27 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (40 of 40). No stories are corroborated across independent sources yet, and the median lead across the ledger's 24 observed fires is 5h — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 4d ago: caught in arXiv cs.AI 9d before Hacker News front carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 4h.

40
on the board
0
heating
40
new on board
5h
median lead
Latest fires — measured lead
  1. Papers → Community +9d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 4d ago
    Generative AI floods and dilutes the market for books
  2. Community → Analysis +11h lead Hacker News front first · then Dynomight 6d ago
    So you want to use plants to reduce CO₂
  3. Community → Analysis +2h lead Hacker News front first · then Google DeepMind 7d ago
    Gemini Robotics 2 brings whole body intelligence to robots
  1. 1
    Show HN: Graft – Give coding agents a semantic map instead of grep
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 30m old · via Show HN
  2. 2
    Show HN: Aident Loadout – connect Codex and Claude Code to real apps
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 30m old · via Show HN
  3. 3
    Taylor Farms Cyclospora outbreak triples in size
    efoodalert.com
    Live Signal Community · 42m old · via Hacker News front
  4. 4
    Show HN: Yotsu – A daily logic puzzle app with four puzzles a day and no ads
    apps.apple.com
    Live Signal Community · 48m old · via Show HN
  5. 5
    Show HN: Cleared – which browser features are safe now, and what to delete
    cleared.page
    Live Signal Community · 48m old · via Show HN
  6. 6
    Show HN: Job Posting Insights
    jobhose.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  7. 7
    Function vectors as a model diffing tool: 17 heads repair a bad fine-tune
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via LessWrong
  8. 8
    How to define P(doom) and why it matters
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via LessWrong
  9. 9
    Show HN: Building My Own Smart Roller Shades
    osv.im
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  10. 10
    Show HN: I spent 2 years designing a mechanical Magic Keyboard
    electronicmaterialsoffice.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  11. 11
    Degrees of Wealth
    jaapgrolleman.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Hacker News front
  12. 12
    Show HN: Solve your document workflows with AI agents
    docuqueue.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  13. 13
    Show HN: Charming – Build and share apps like Google Docs
    usecharming.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  14. 14
    Show HN: Photo to Video AI – Animate a photo with a motion prompt
    phototovideo-ai.net
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  15. 15
    Show HN: I built a pg-migration-engine on NPM
    news.ycombinator.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  16. 16
    Show HN: Ranking weather models by how their forecasts turned out
    nickleenders.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  17. 17
    I added a real-time chat to my blog, people used it to attack me
    en.andros.dev
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  18. 18
    Show HN: React Candlesticks – JSX composable Canvas charts for financial UIs
    reactcandlesticks.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  19. 19
    Show HN: Line9 - a Mermaid rendering engine with its own layout
    line9.ai
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  20. 20
    Show HN: Fursa, a live job index built from company career pages
    fursa.io
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  21. 21
    Show HN: FormLab, a no-signup formulation lab notebook in the browser
    lab.formvix.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  22. 22
    Show HN: Science for Kids
    science.ocaho.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  23. 23
    AI #180: No Longer In Charge
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via LessWrong
  24. 24
    Show HN: Islandr – WireGuard peers, users and group ACLs in one binary
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  25. 25
    Show HN: OptiPipe: rule-based config advisor for dbt pipelines
    opti-pipe.onrender.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  26. 26
    Four simple rules behind Japan's most liveable cities
    bbc.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  27. 27
    Show HN: How will the Aug 12 eclipse look like from your address?
    eclipse2026times.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  28. 28
    Setup a simple web server with bozohttpd on NetBSD
    bozo.httpd.rocks
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Lobsters
  29. 29
    The Open Problems of the AI Alignment Field and their Cruxes
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via LessWrong
  30. 30
    Telephones Caught in Between
    computer.rip
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  31. 31
    The LuaJIT NYI That Silently Poisoned an Unrelated Hot Loop
    streamhpc.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Lobsters
  32. 32
    Show HN: Solsticio – daily sun/moon logic puzzle with a deterministic generator
    solsticio.app
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  33. 33
    Humans missed 1 in 3 threats approving AI agent commands across 40k game runs
    scalex.dev
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  34. 34
    Show HN: I made GifJot to turn part of my screen into a GIF I can paste
    gifjot.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  35. 35
    Show HN: OpenThat.Link – Trigger a webhook, open a link in your browser
    openthat.link
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  36. 36
    Show HN: Jolt a decentralised content syndication network
    alexanderwanyoike.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  37. 37
    Show HN: AI Agents 101 – an offline iOS app that labels every demo REAL or MOCK
    apps.apple.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  38. 38
    Show HN: Skyline Co-op is like SimTower, but built around democratic socialism
    intergalacticrobots.app
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  39. 39
    The following is a valid DOS COM executable
    oldbytes.space
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Lobsters
  40. 40
    Show HN: Juju-chu A book on Jujutsu (jj) and AI coding agent
    juju-chu.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN

How Radar works

The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.

The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.

Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.

The honesty rule. Every value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.

How to read a row
The spectrum band
A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
Signal class
The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
heating
The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
seen in / via
How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
The radar, dated
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