Radar · 2026-08-09

What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.

Radar is an hourly index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.

frozen 9 Aug 2026, 23:50 UTC · 67/78 feeds live · 18,776 tracked since 12 Jun

Lead-time spectrum
flow, last 24h · 0 dark
8
Papers
13
Repos
194
Community
20
Analysis

235 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 8 in papers, 13 in repos, 194 in community, 20 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (38 of 40). 2 stories are heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 23 observed fires is 4h — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 2d ago: caught in Hacker News front 2h before OpenAI News carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 4d.

40
on the board
2
heating
39
new on board
4h
median lead
Latest fires — measured lead
  1. Community → Analysis +2h lead Hacker News front first · then OpenAI News 2d ago
    Responding to the next frontier of critical cyber capabilities
  2. Papers → Community +9d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 8d ago
    Generative AI floods and dilutes the market for books
  3. Community → Analysis +11h lead Hacker News front first · then Dynomight 10d ago
    So you want to use plants to reduce CO₂
  1. 1
    Crashing Through Defenses: Exploiting Segfaults and Chaining around Intel CET
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 0m old · via Lobsters
  2. 2
    Show HN: A Planet and Geology Simulation Sandbox Game in Godot
    stevecastle.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 24m old · via Show HN
  3. 3
    nixpkgs-multiverse: every version that ever existed
    fzakaria.com
    Live Signal Community · 42m old · via Lobsters
  4. 4
    Show HN: Albedo – single-file listenable document database in Zig
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 48m old · via Show HN
  5. 5
    Show HN: Lumabri – What if LLMs worked like Napster?
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · seen in 2 sources
  6. 6
    I got an email about resistance
    seangoedecke.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Lobsters
  7. 7
    Show HN: An AI chief of staff for founders who can't afford one
    useairo.co
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  8. 8
    AI-amplified democratic backsliding: an exploration
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via LessWrong
  9. 9
    SQLite with a Fine-Toothed Comb
    blog.regehr.org
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Lobsters
  10. 10
    Overthinking: Amplifying reasoning weights makes models reveal their secrets
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via LessWrong
  11. 11
    Incentives are for losers
    experimental-history.com
    Contrarian Analysis · 4d old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  12. 12
    The Apocalyptic Arrival of Truth
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via LessWrong
  13. 13
    Georgia police officers fired after Flock camera misuse
    wtoc.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  14. 14
    Show HN: Wardline, a Go proxy that auto-blocks compromised AI agents
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  15. 15
    Is it all just vapourware?
    kirahowe.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  16. 16
    Show HN: Form cohorts in your city for study and business
    chimera.university
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  17. 17
    Tuxedo No. 2 – Cocktail recipes
    tuxedono2.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  18. 18
    New Zealand lost its music media, and what we're building to replace it
    propelmusic.co.nz
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  19. 19
    Show HN: Standards – Opinionated Linter
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  20. 20
    The climate benefits of retiring an operational combustion engine vehicle
    science.org
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  21. 21
    Show HN: Mandible TUI – rust based CLI manual viewer
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  22. 22
    Show HN: 35k+ paper psychedelic library that knows LSD from Lumpy Skin Disease
    consciousnesslibrary.org
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  23. 23
    The Hacker's Renaissance
    phrack.org
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  24. 24
    How not to turn ideologically crazy
    blog.andymasley.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  25. 25
    Show HN: Alphabet Soup, a multiplayer game, build the longest word to win
    alphabetsoup.club
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · seen in 2 sources
  26. 26
    Poland now 6th-largest EU economy, ahead of Switzerland and Belgium
    euronews.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  27. 27
    Show HN: Whetstone – 20 Claude Code skills, each distilled from one real failure
    whetstone.akbarsha.dev
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  28. 28
    Deletes all instances of Microsoft's GDID and prevents minting of new ones
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  29. 29
    Show HN: Run your GitHub Actions locally or self-hosted in isolated microvms
    preloop.dev
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  30. 30
    Show HN: See how long it takes ChatGPT Sol 5.6 to send a byte across the LAN
    robss2020.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  31. 31
    "Community Notes" resolution for vague predictions
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via LessWrong
  32. 32
    The tragedy of the commons, AI edition
    economist.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  33. 33
    Two wheels, a few tradeoffs, and gas prices
    blog.raed.dev
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  34. 34
    High-frequency trading firm just hired Bjarne Stroustrup (creator of C++)
    efinancialcareers.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Lobsters
  35. 35
    Show HN: Remaking Unreal engine in Rust for coding agents
    machinesatplay.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  36. 36
    Mea Culpa – Dark Hours
    blog.terrygodier.com
    Live Signal Community · 11h old · seen in 4 sources HEATING ×2
  37. 37
    Ransomware gangs skip the CEO, head straight for the 40-something IT manager
    theregister.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Hacker News front
  38. 38
    Show HN: Kamod UI – open-code components built natively for Preact
    kamod-ch.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  39. 39
    How I use LLMs to learn complex topics
    laurentiugabriel.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · seen in 3 sources
  40. 40
    Quoting Claude Opus 5 system prompt
    simonwillison.net
    AI Firehose Analysis · 18m old · via Simon Willison

How Radar works

The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.

The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.

Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.

The honesty rule. Every value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.

How to read a row
The spectrum band
A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
Signal class
The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
heating
The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
seen in / via
How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
The radar, dated
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