Radar · 2026-08-21

What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.

Radar is an hourly index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.

frozen 21 Aug 2026, 23:42 UTC · 67/78 feeds live · 19,334 tracked since 12 Jun

Lead-time spectrum
flow, last 24h · 0 dark
223
Papers
12
Repos
270
Community
55
Analysis

560 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 223 in papers, 12 in repos, 270 in community, 55 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (38 of 40). 4 stories are heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 20 observed fires is 5h — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 3d ago: caught in GitHub Trending Python 25d before Show HN carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 3d.

40
on the board
4
heating
39
new on board
5h
median lead
Latest fires — measured lead
  1. Repos → Community +25d lead GitHub Trending Python first · then Show HN 3d ago
    moorcheh-ai/memanto
  2. Repos → Community +32d lead GitHub Trending Python first · then Hacker News front 3d ago
    RyanCodrai/turbovec
  3. Community → Analysis +4h lead Hacker News front first · then Stratechery 10d ago
    Nvidia's Risky Business
  1. 1
    I like 'em thick
    experimental-history.com
    Contrarian Analysis · 3d old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  2. 2
    Show HN: Kinodesk – Unlimited Remote Desktop Sharing
    kinodesk.net
    Live Signal Community · 24m old · via Show HN
  3. 3
  4. 4
    Show HN: ChickenButt a Native GTK Chat Client for Ollama on Linux
    chickenbutt.dev
    Live Signal Community · 30m old · via Show HN
  5. 5
    Show HN: OzBrain, a shared brain for knowledge between agents and your team
    ozbrain.com
    Live Signal Community · 30m old · seen in 2 sources
  6. 6
    Three important steps in my maturation process
    thomasdullien.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Hacker News front
  7. 7
    Show HN: Python Debug Terminal for VSCode
    marketplace.visualstudio.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  8. 8
    Show HN: Field Guide to SF Slang
    sfisms.org
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  9. 9
    'Ghost Job' Ads Are Getting So Bad That Lawmakers Want to Ban Them
    wsj.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Hacker News front
  10. 10
    Show HN: A collection of websites built on .lol
    upon.lol
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  11. 11
    Show HN: Front Page of the Internet
    frontpageoftheinternet.lol
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  12. 12
    Show HN: Flowtube – Distraction Free YouTube
    chromewebstore.google.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  13. 13
  14. 14
    Remotely Unlocking Electric Scooters
    henriemategui.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  15. 15
    Felony Bench
    felonybench.com
    Live Signal Community · 8h old · seen in 4 sources HEATING ×2
  16. 16
    Alignment fine-tuning induces conditional misalignment in Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via LessWrong
  17. 17
    Show HN: Groovebox – self-hosted music library integrated with Discogs and Tidal
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  18. 18
    Homebrew 68K Machine Has A PCI Bus
    hackaday.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Lobsters
  19. 19
    Show HN: Zroar – Serialized Roaring Bitmaps in Zig
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  20. 20
    When is Unlimited Optimization Catastrophic?
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via LessWrong
  21. 21
    Show HN: Fast_trimul – Fused Triangle Multiplicative Updates in Python
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  22. 22
    v2.1.239
    github.com
    Live Signal Repos · 4h old · via Claude Code releases
  23. 23
    Quick impressions: A week of using Codex more than Claude
    allaboutcoding.ghinda.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  24. 24
    Show HN: secret_share - simple CLI to share secrets with PKE
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  25. 25
    Show HN: Ambient Drone Synth URL Preset Encoding
    akindoflikeness.net
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  26. 26
    Church of the TigerBeetle: A Look at Tech Evangelism
    wespiser.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  27. 27
    AI Text Watermarking Is Free And Good
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via LessWrong
  28. 28
    Evaluating Explanations of LLM Behavior In The Wild with Counterfactual Experiments
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via LessWrong
  29. 29
    Tumble Forth – from assembly to OS with C compiler
    tumbleforth.hardcoded.net
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Hacker News front
  30. 30
    Show HN: CSVtoTable – turn a CSV/XLSX into one self-contained HTML file
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  31. 31
    Bringing the cybersecurity capabilities of Claude Mythos 5 to more defenders
    claude.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Hacker News front
  32. 32
    In Defense of ASI Socialism
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via LessWrong
  33. 33
    Scientists release biggest 2D map of the universe
    newscenter.lbl.gov
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Hacker News front
  34. 34
    Show HN: Outbid.lol but for X and LN Profiles
    founderboard.lol
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  35. 35
    Show HN: Lore – build and monetize personal context
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  36. 36
    Show HN: Traccia - Observability, Runtime Control & Audit for agents
    traccia.ai
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  37. 37
    Show HN: Poorleton – AI Generated Cycling Workouts
    poorleton.fit
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  38. 38
    Show HN: Interactive map of the Odyssey with tap-to-gloss Homeric Greek
    georgemasto.com
    Live Signal Community · 6h old · via Show HN
  39. 39
    The road to ACID transactions in Cassandra 6
    theconsensus.dev
    Live Signal Community · 12h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  40. 40
    I accidentally logged hundreds of thousands of phone calls to military bases
    lina.sh
    Live Signal Community · 12h old · seen in 3 sources HEATING ×2

How Radar works

The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.

The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.

Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.

The honesty rule. Every value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.

How to read a row
The spectrum band
A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
Signal class
The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
heating
The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
seen in / via
How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
The radar, dated
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