Radar · 2026-08-31

What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.

Radar is a running index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. Every ingest run of the pipeline takes a fresh snapshot — several times a day, on no fixed clock — and the stamp below is the exact time of the one you're reading. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.

frozen 31 Aug 2026, 23:54 UTC · 67/78 feeds live · 18,388 tracked since 12 Jun

Lead-time spectrum
flow, last 24h · 0 dark
201
Papers
9
Repos
184
Community
31
Analysis

425 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 201 in papers, 9 in repos, 184 in community, 31 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (39 of 40). 1 story is heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 20 observed fires is 8h — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 35h ago: caught in Hacker News front 6h before Dwarkesh Patel carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 9h.

40
on the board
1
heating
40
new on board
8h
median lead
Latest fires — measured lead
  1. Community → Analysis +6h lead Hacker News front first · then Dwarkesh Patel 35h ago
    The Rise and Fall of Agent Civilizations
  2. Papers → Community +3d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 3d ago
    Autonomous Mathematical Discovery in an Open-World Multi-Agent Environment
  3. Papers → Community +8h lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Show HN 5d ago
    The Shadow Price of Intelligence: Quality Degradation in LLM Inference as a Supply Chain Problem
  1. 1
    Show HN: Saccade – Live semantic browser truth for AI agents
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 18m old · via Show HN
  2. 2
    Population ethics is a big deal, which is why I made this population ethics quiz
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 42m old · via LessWrong
  3. 3
    Show HN: Nos4, new nostalgic internet toy. A complete IOS4 right on the browser
    nos4.fun
    Live Signal Community · 42m old · via Show HN
  4. 4
    Run macOS Software on Linux
    darlinghq.org
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Hacker News front
  5. 5
  6. 6
    You Should Think About What Needs to Go Right + My List
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via LessWrong
  7. 7
  8. 8
    Show HN: Libraries.ink – a home for the books you own
    libraries.ink
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  9. 9
    Narration podcasts for newsletters by Redwood, Epoch, Zvi, Sentinel, Paradigm 3, and others
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via LessWrong
  10. 10
    Show HN: Guided sentence diagramming to practice grammar
    adamsohn.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  11. 11
    How we configured OpenTelemetry logs in Rails
    sixpatterns.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  12. 12
    Google Has Removed MV2 Extensions from the Chrome Web Store, Including UBO
    webiterate.dev
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · seen in 2 sources
  13. 13
    Show HN: Open Agent Forum – a signed public square for agents
    openagentforum.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  14. 14
    Show HN: 49 IDE – 2D Canvas for Agents
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  15. 15
    Autonomous (YC F25) is hiring engineers
    news.ycombinator.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  16. 16
    C++26: Standard Library Hardening Experiments
    cppstories.com
    Live Signal Community · 9h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  17. 17
    Show HN: Markdown Viewer and Editor
    kingsbridge-consultancy.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  18. 18
    Show HN: Tubeviz – automatically edit YouTube footage to music
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  19. 19
    V0.1.0.0 of ghcup-gtk released
    discourse.haskell.org
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Lobsters
  20. 20
    Show HN: cdai – the AI-enhanced cd command
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  21. 21
    Show HN: Claude Code Arcade
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  22. 22
    Show HN: I made a minimalist digital zine powered by 5 random emoji prompts
    moon-zine.net
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  23. 23
    Show HN: Sheet-Based Infrastructure, Sheeternetes and Sheet-Native Foundation
    sncfoundation.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  24. 24
    Show HN: Room Treatment
    roomtreatment.diy
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  25. 25
    Show HN: Keel - A conductor, not an agent loop
    daneb.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  26. 26
    Show HN: Doom Compiled into an LLM
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  27. 27
    Show HN: Terminal-browser – A real browser inside the terminal
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  28. 28
    Show HN: Super CLI MARIO – a Mario clone for your terminal in zero-dependency Go
    blog.daviey.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  29. 29
    Show HN: PopSQL and SeekWell were shutting down, so I built the replacement
    saturnsql.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  30. 30
    Show HN: *Another* marketplace for returns, overstock, and second-life inventory
    mintshelf.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  31. 31
    v2.1.252
    github.com
    Live Signal Repos · 4h old · via Claude Code releases
  32. 32
    Show HN: LogiCola 3
    logicola.org
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  33. 33
    Show HN: Sidework – 100% free site for side hustle, live in 2 min mobile/desktop
    my-sidework.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  34. 34
    The inverse Simmel scenario
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via LessWrong
  35. 35
    Kantian consent
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via LessWrong
  36. 36
    Wiki-libertarianism
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via LessWrong
  37. 37
    Show HN: Silent Fail, get an email when your n8n workflow stops running
    silentfailapp.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  38. 38
    The Structuralist Mindset
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via LessWrong
  39. 39
    Show HN: An agent that finds you jobs with just your resume
    applymyresume.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  40. 40
    Show HN: Guess the AI model from its web design
    raq.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN

How Radar works

The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.

The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.

Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.

The honesty rule. Every value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.

How to read a row
The spectrum band
A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
Signal class
The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
heating
The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
seen in / via
How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
The radar, dated
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