Radar · 2026-09-07

What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.

Radar is a running index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. Every ingest run of the pipeline takes a fresh snapshot — several times a day, on no fixed clock — and the stamp below is the exact time of the one you're reading. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.

frozen 7 Sept 2026, 23:33 UTC · 67/78 feeds live · 18,083 tracked since 12 Jun

Moving now see all 40 ↓
40 tracked · 1 heating · 11 feeds quiet · 0 of 4 stations quiet
  1. 1 Blocking Monitors are Bad lesswrong.com · 18m
  2. 2 Machine Organizations lesswrong.com · 1h
  3. 3 Show HN: Animaxxing – get agents to animate the shit out of your website animaxxing.com · 1h
  4. 4 Show HN: Relay – an update after three years on anonymous team check-ins openrelay.app · 1h
  5. 5 Show HN: Stuxnet – A reconstructed source code of the infamous cyber-weapon github.com · 1h
Lead-time spectrum
flow, last 24h · 0 dark
227
Papers
7
Repos
203
Community
24
Analysis

461 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 227 in papers, 7 in repos, 203 in community, 24 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (38 of 40). 1 story is heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 18 observed fires is 9h — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 3d ago: caught in HN 200+ points 34h before OpenAI News carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 10h.

40
on the board
1
heating
40
new on board
9h
median lead
Latest fires — measured lead
  1. Community → Analysis +34h lead HN 200+ points first · then OpenAI News 3d ago
    GPT-6 Astra
  2. Community → Analysis +6h lead Hacker News front first · then Dwarkesh Patel 8d ago
    The Rise and Fall of Agent Civilizations
  3. Papers → Community +3d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 10d ago
    Autonomous Mathematical Discovery in an Open-World Multi-Agent Environment
  1. 1
    Blocking Monitors are Bad
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 18m old · via LessWrong
  2. 2
    Machine Organizations
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via LessWrong
  3. 3
    Show HN: Animaxxing – get agents to animate the shit out of your website
    animaxxing.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  4. 4
    Show HN: Relay – an update after three years on anonymous team check-ins
    openrelay.app
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  5. 5
    Show HN: Stuxnet – A reconstructed source code of the infamous cyber-weapon
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · seen in 2 sources
  6. 6
    Dear God, Please Do Not Resign In Protest
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via LessWrong
  7. 7
    Show HN: Keyclasp – Let agents use tokens without putting them in prompts
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  8. 8
    Where are the token-level LLM kill-switches?
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via LessWrong
  9. 9
    The Education of a Doomer
    borretti.me
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  10. 10
    Working on Economics with Fable 5
    wilsoniumite.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  11. 11
    Show HN: Intercontinental Ballistic Wikipedia Edit Map
    defamation.dev
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  12. 12
    Show HN: Rejourney – Finds user "leaks" in apps and websites
    rejourney.co
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  13. 13
    Show HN: DNTLS – Decentralized Trust Layer for the Open Internet
    dntls.net
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  14. 14
    Show HN: I was tired to check my mums WhatsApp last online, to see if she is ok
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  15. 15
    Show HN: Create perceptually-uniform color palettes with optimization
    zkingston.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  16. 16
    Macbeth and His Problems
    porticoquarterly.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  17. 17
    Show HN: HealthAPI – hosted REST API over Apple Health
    healthapi.app
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  18. 18
    Leaving VMware just got harder after Broadcom pulled VDDK downloads
    virtualizationhowto.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  19. 19
    Show HN: Bamboo – build-time, Rust/Oxc, type-safe, zero-runtime CSS-in-JS
    bamboocss.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  20. 20
    The Scramble: getting in position to pace the frontier
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via LessWrong
  21. 21
    Show HN: Stirfry, a small Ruby web framework mixing it up
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  22. 22
    Show HN: PDF Measuring Tool
    theinstant.cc
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  23. 23
    Show HN: Security Scanning Tool
    hackymacky.vercel.app
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  24. 24
    bzip3
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 10h old · seen in 4 sources HEATING ×2
  25. 25
    Show HN: Flying Letters and a Clean Keyboard That Even Steve Jobs Would Like
    news.ycombinator.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  26. 26
    Replaceable but Employed: Automation and the Meaning of Work
    nber.org
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Hacker News front
  27. 27
    The Magnus Challenge
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via LessWrong
  28. 28
    Show HN: Animating code snippets from first principles
    news.ycombinator.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  29. 29
    Show HN: Expose - a self-hosted tunneling tool like ngrok/localtunnel(Golang)
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  30. 30
    Watch Los Angeles get built, one building at a time (1880–2026)
    lax-skyline.parcelscope.net
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Hacker News front
  31. 31
    Creepy crawlies
    simonwillison.net
    AI Firehose Analysis · 24m old · via Simon Willison
  32. 32
    Model ethology for understanding average case alignment
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via LessWrong
  33. 33
    Show HN: OpenLivery – open-source multi-tenant WhatsApp agents for agencies
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  34. 34
    Show HN: Apecs – A fast TypeScript ECS without the low-level footguns
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  35. 35
    Show HN: Worldfixture – An OSS fake company your software can interact with
    worldfixture.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  36. 36
    Quoting Jakub Pachocki
    simonwillison.net
    AI Firehose Analysis · 1h old · via Simon Willison
  37. 37
    Show HN: Can you tell a real tweet of a certain user from an AI one?
    socialsimbench.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  38. 38
    Show HN: Quoted – a citation verifier that refuses rather than guesses
    quoted-jnow.onrender.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  39. 39
    Show HN: Office42, a Clone of Excel
    apps.microsoft.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  40. 40
    Show HN: See why Google and AI ignore your site and how to fix it
    beseen.so
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN

How Radar works

The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.

The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.

Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.

The honesty rule. Every value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.

How to read a row
The spectrum band
A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
Signal class
The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
heating
The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
seen in / via
How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
The radar, dated
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