Radar · 2026-09-25

What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.

Radar is a running index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. Every ingest run of the pipeline takes a fresh snapshot — several times a day, on no fixed clock — and the stamp below is the exact time of the one you're reading. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.

frozen 25 Sept 2026, 22:49 UTC · 67/78 feeds live · 17,142 tracked since 12 Jun

Moving now see all 40 ↓
40 tracked · 0 heating · 11 feeds quiet · 0 of 4 stations quiet
  1. 1 v2.1.283 github.com · 1h
  2. 2 Show HN: NerfWatch() – Track AI degradation with daily tests and community votes nerfwatch.lol · 2h
  3. 3 Show HN: Ekselio – Loveable for Finance Workflows (local first) gptbeyond.com · 2h
  4. 4 Revealing the details of how OpenAI agents hacked Hugging Face swarmtraces.org · 2h
  5. 5 What did AI researchers think at the end of 2024? lesswrong.com · 2h
Lead-time spectrum
flow, last 24h · 0 dark
287
Papers
8
Repos
186
Community
23
Analysis

504 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 287 in papers, 8 in repos, 186 in community, 23 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (38 of 40). No stories are corroborated across independent sources yet, and the median lead across the ledger's 25 observed fires is 12h — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 9h ago: caught in arXiv cs.AI 6h before Show HN carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 6h.

40
on the board
0
heating
40
new on board
12h
median lead
Latest fires — measured lead
  1. Papers → Community +6h lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Show HN 9h ago
    Hard Stop: Kernel-Level Preemption and Containment for Rogue Agentic Execution
  2. Community → Analysis +8h lead Hacker News front first · then Dynomight 21h ago
    Why is the human body so crap except for the liver?
  3. Repos → Community +7d lead GitHub Trending Python first · then Show HN 2d ago
    MG1937/ASC
  1. 1
    v2.1.283
    github.com
    Live Signal Repos ·Tools · 1h old · via Claude Code releases
  2. 2
    Show HN: NerfWatch() – Track AI degradation with daily tests and community votes
    nerfwatch.lol
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
  3. 3
    Show HN: Ekselio – Loveable for Finance Workflows (local first)
    gptbeyond.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
  4. 4
    Revealing the details of how OpenAI agents hacked Hugging Face
    swarmtraces.org
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  5. 5
    What did AI researchers think at the end of 2024?
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 2h old · via LessWrong
  6. 6
    Show HN: Piloxa – an MCP server that sends USPS Certified Mail from your AI
    piloxa.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
  7. 7
    Show HN: A free resume builder where the AI can rewrite but can't invent
    nokku.payanai.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
  8. 8
    Show HN: Drift – A clickable map of ideas unfolding from single question (demo)
    echohive.ai
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
  9. 9
    Show HN: AgentLens – Replay and compare Codex runs
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
  10. 10
    Show HN: Agate, a 260M image model with separate thinker and renderer
    huggingface.co
    Live Signal Community ·Models · 3h old · via Show HN
  11. 11
    Show HN: Paper-docx – agent-native Python-docx fork with 78% fewer DOCX failures
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · via Show HN
  12. 12
    Ollaya – Ollama for open-source, Jev-style decision models
    ollaya.dev
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · seen in 2 sources
  13. 13
    Alignment Forecasting: Predicting Misalignment from Training Data
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 4h old · via LessWrong
  14. 14
    Spurious probes as a black-box alternative to activation probing
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Research · 4h old · via LessWrong
  15. 15
    Commodified Intelligence
    herecomesthemoon.net
    Live Signal Community ·Business · 4h old · via Lobsters
  16. 16
    Applications open: Winter 2027 AFFINE Alignment Seminar (due Nov 22)
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 4h old · via LessWrong
  17. 17
    Show HN: I couldn't deal with another Claude Code tab
    aidash.dev
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · via Show HN
  18. 18
    Meta's Muse appears to use an OpenAI model labeled muse-special
    mouse.dev
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Hacker News front
  19. 19
    We need a better theory of polarization, because it's failing to predict the AI debate
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 5h old · via LessWrong
  20. 20
    Show HN: Reliopt – Pareto-frontier, contract-gated optimization for LLM programs
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 6h old · via Show HN
  21. 21
    Show HN: Doom or Bloom, map your AI worldview with Jev
    doom-or-bloom.com
    Live Signal Community · 6h old · seen in 2 sources
  22. 22
    Show HN: Open-Source Origami CLI
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 6h old · via Show HN
  23. 23
    Show HN: PromptPad- A lightweight editor for long coding prompts
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 6h old · via Show HN
  24. 24
    Proaction boosts sales 60% and saves 75+ hours with Codex
    openai.com
    AI Firehose Analysis ·Practice · 4h old · via OpenAI News
  25. 25
    Show HN: Cafe(s) and the Context You Can't Write Down
    metalbear.com
    Live Signal Community ·Practice · 6h old · via Show HN
  26. 26
    Show HN: BuyerCue – Find potential customer by paid-placement evidence
    buyercue.io
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  27. 27
    Show HN: Pbi-guard – Unit testing for Power BI
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  28. 28
    Show HN: I read ISO 273 off the standard because the online charts disagree
    supra.silviaai.dev
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  29. 29
    Show HN: I made a 3D rock climbing analysis tool using iPhone LiDAR [video]
    youtube.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  30. 30
    Ask HN: Who's still keeping a DOS machine up because the business depends on it?
    news.ycombinator.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  31. 31
    Three Lenses on Coordination
    jhellerstein.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Lobsters
  32. 32
    Show HN: Aslmp, an async Python SLMP client for Mitsubishi MELSEC PLCs
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  33. 33
    Show HN: CK3DNA – searchable CK3 character DNA and coat of arms codes
    ck3dna.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  34. 34
    Show HN: Digitron – a virtual analog synth and sequencer
    apps.apple.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  35. 35
    Show HN: Free .has-a.computer sub-domain for your website
    has-a.computer
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  36. 36
    Show HN: Obsidian Plugin for OpenModelica
    community.obsidian.md
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  37. 37
    Alan Kay: Shannon gave us a way of dealing with noisy channels [video]
    youtube.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  38. 38
    Allow Babywearing Carriers on Planes
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via LessWrong
  39. 39
    Show HN: I made a WWI dogfight game that runs in the browser
    gamedev.pl
    Live Signal Community · 6h old · via Show HN
  40. 40
    Show HN: Encryption as a Service
    rypt.dev
    Live Signal Community · 6h old · via Show HN

How Radar works

The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.

The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.

Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.

The classifier. Two judgments on this page are made by a model, not read from the feed log. A small typed classifier (TypeSafe's Jev) answers one question per story — is it about AI? — and stories it judges not to be about AI move to the bottom of the board; nothing is removed. It was checked against 232 hand-labelled titles before it shipped and agreed with 97.8% of them. The same classifier assigns the topic shown on a story and used by the filter above; a topic appears only when the classifier is confident, and at that setting it matched the labels on 115 of 116 stories. Stories without a confident topic are listed under All.

The honesty rule. Every other value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Beyond those two labelled judgments, Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.

How to read a row
The spectrum band
A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
Signal class
The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
heating
The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
seen in / via
How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
The radar, dated
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