Radar · 2026-10-05

What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.

Radar is a running index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. Every ingest run of the pipeline takes a fresh snapshot — several times a day, on no fixed clock — and the stamp below is the exact time of the one you're reading. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.

frozen 5 Oct 2026, 22:54 UTC · 66/78 feeds live · 16,994 tracked since 12 Jun

Moving now see all 40 ↓
40 tracked · 2 heating · 12 feeds quiet · 0 of 4 stations quiet
  1. 1 Our AI Midwife astralcodexten.com · 4d
  2. 2 Show HN: Ototo: A tool to offload code exploration to a smaller model ototo.dev · 2h
  3. 3 Dust: Pretraining Transformers Without Backpropagation qlabs.sh · 2h
  4. 4 Opus 5.5 agents discover two room-temperature magnetic semiconductor candidates vals.ai · 2h
  5. 5 Show HN: All local LLM(s) on all Apple Devices simulkit.com · 2h
Lead-time spectrum
flow, last 24h · 0 dark
276
Papers
6
Repos
175
Community
21
Analysis

478 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 276 in papers, 6 in repos, 175 in community, 21 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (39 of 40). 2 stories are heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 28 observed fires is 35h — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 41h ago: caught in arXiv cs.AI 54d before Show HN carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 4d.

40
on the board
2
heating
39
new on board
35h
median lead
Latest fires — measured lead
  1. Papers → Community +54d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Show HN 41h ago
    SuperLocalMemory 4.0: The Governed Memory Operating System for AI Agents
  2. Papers → Community +2d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 3d ago
    Targeting Pivotal Decisions for Credit Assignment in Agentic Reinforcement Learning
  3. Papers → Community +36h lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 4d ago
    Context Language Models
  1. 1
    Our AI Midwife
    astralcodexten.com
    Contrarian Analysis · 4d old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  2. 2
    Show HN: Ototo: A tool to offload code exploration to a smaller model
    ototo.dev
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
  3. 3
    Dust: Pretraining Transformers Without Backpropagation
    qlabs.sh
    Live Signal Community ·Research · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  4. 4
    Opus 5.5 agents discover two room-temperature magnetic semiconductor candidates
    vals.ai
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  5. 5
    Show HN: All local LLM(s) on all Apple Devices
    simulkit.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
  6. 6
    Show HN: Halo – A Personal AI with On-Device Harness, Memory and Browser Agent
    apps.apple.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
  7. 7
    How Would We Know? Reflections on trying to make AI go well amid deep uncertainty
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 3h old · via LessWrong
  8. 8
    Show HN: Spectra-FFT – Cutting AdamW VRAM Usage by 50% for LLMs
    spectralabs.si
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
  9. 9
    Beam: Reflection's 501B open-weight model
    reflection.ai
    Live Signal Community ·Models · 4h old · seen in 3 sources
  10. 10
    Self-Modeling Interventions Modulate Emergent Misalignment
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 4h old · via LessWrong
  11. 11
    Show HN: Flash-Agents – DSH as MCP for Claude
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · via Show HN
  12. 12
    Current AIs out-persuade professionals in lab settings but (probably) not in the world
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via LessWrong
  13. 13
    Anthropic's updated Certificate of Incorporation
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via LessWrong
  14. 14
    Research Note: Filtering Subversion-Relevant Information From Pretraining Data Is Feasible
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via LessWrong
  15. 15
    Norway Eyes Partial Ban of Smart Glasses
    barrons.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Hacker News front
  16. 16
    Find the flattest route between any two points in SF
    flattensf.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Hacker News front
  17. 17
    Show HN: I recreated "Crazy Ones" ad as an animated web tribute to Steve Jobs
    crazy.eyad.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  18. 18
    Show HN: Sideloop – Re-sign sideloaded iOS apps over Wi-Fi before they expire
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  19. 19
    Show HN: Soundscaper – Audacity 4-like audio editor in the browser
    soundscaper.org
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  20. 20
    Show HN: Wisp Gallery – filterable WordPress galleries with 3 KB of JavaScript
    wispgallery.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  21. 21
    Show HN: Free Public API Lab
    sondahub.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  22. 22
    Show HN: I built a floating Spotify lyrics window for MacOS
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  23. 23
    Show HN: Imaging Science Website
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  24. 24
    Making a GTK application in Haskell, part 1
    floreal.tech
    Live Signal Community · 9h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  25. 25
  26. 26
    A third way of using Linux
    hisvirusness.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  27. 27
    Show HN: Reader Mode for Chrome
    chromewebstore.google.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  28. 28
    Show HN: An interactive electronic music graph
    eweb.learningtodj.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  29. 29
    Incident with Actions
    githubstatus.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  30. 30
    Golang tool to check SPF, DKIM, TLSA, and TLS settings for mailservers
    git.sig-io.nl
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Lobsters
  31. 31
    Show HN: Meanwhile Map – what else was happening in the world at the same time
    meanwhilemap.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  32. 32
    Show HN: Smolvm – MicroVMs with CRIU Functionality
    smolmachines.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  33. 33
    Show HN: Live carbon intensity and power prices for 15 European grids
    scienceshot.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  34. 34
    Show HN: A simple script to stop all cold sales emails from reaching your inbox
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  35. 35
    The Future of Mathematics
    terrytao.wordpress.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  36. 36
    Show HN: OneTUI 0.2.x k9s for your databases and message queues
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  37. 37
    Plain text is still one of the best technologies we have
    deadparrotbbs.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News best
  38. 38
    spoonful: static site generator written in Nix
    tangled.org
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Lobsters
  39. 39
    Async Rust: Where does the scheduler live?
    herecomesthemoon.net
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Lobsters
  40. 40
    On the algorithmic complexity of cooking
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via LessWrong

How Radar works

The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.

The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.

Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.

The classifier. Two judgments on this page are made by a model, not read from the feed log. A small typed classifier (TypeSafe's Jev) answers one question per story — is it about AI? — and stories it judges not to be about AI move to the bottom of the board; nothing is removed. It was checked against 232 hand-labelled titles before it shipped and agreed with 97.8% of them. The same classifier assigns the topic shown on a story and used by the filter above; a topic appears only when the classifier is confident, and at that setting it matched the labels on 115 of 116 stories. Stories without a confident topic are listed under All.

The honesty rule. Every other value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Beyond those two labelled judgments, Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.

How to read a row
The spectrum band
A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
Signal class
The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
heating
The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
seen in / via
How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
The radar, dated
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