What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.
Radar is a running index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. Every ingest run of the pipeline takes a fresh snapshot — several times a day, on no fixed clock — and the stamp below is the exact time of the one you're reading. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.
frozen 12 Oct 2026, 23:13 UTC · 67/78 feeds live · 17,361 tracked since 12 Jun
- 1 Good Evals Are Hard: An ImpossibleBench Audit lesswrong.com · 36m
- 2 OpenAI Fires Three Safety Researchers lesswrong.com · 42m
- 3 'Employee-like' ≠ Employee-level lesswrong.com · 48m
- 4 AI Is a Tool. Using It Well Takes Skill. yyhh.org · 2h
- 5 Show HN: Turn spoken thoughts into system design diagrams github.com · 2h
440 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 191 in papers, 3 in repos, 227 in community, 19 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (40 of 40). 1 story is heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 30 observed fires is 2d — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 17h ago: caught in arXiv cs.AI 35d before Lobsters carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 7h.
- Papers → Community +35d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Lobsters 17h agoWhen LLM Decompilers Recompile More and Preserve Less
- Papers → Community +7h lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Show HN 3d agoReal Long-Term Memory for AI: A 50-Million-Token Window That Is Faster and Cheaper Than Recompute
- Repos → Community +14d lead GitHub Trending Python first · then Hacker News front 6d agosuperdesigndev/treg
- 1Good Evals Are Hard: An ImpossibleBench Auditlesswrong.comLive Signal Community ·Research · 36m old · via LessWrong
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- 4AI Is a Tool. Using It Well Takes Skill.yyhh.orgLive Signal Community ·Practice · 2h old · via Hacker News front
- 5Show HN: Turn spoken thoughts into system design diagramsgithub.comLive Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
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- 7Show HN: Vibecheck – merge gate that checks you understand your AI-written codegithub.comLive Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
- 8Research Lessons I Learned at MATS & Redwoodlesswrong.comLive Signal Community ·Practice · 2h old · via LessWrong
- 9More people should write basic AI safety explainerslesswrong.comLive Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 2h old · via LessWrong
- 10Anthropic Has Told The World Little About Their Rogue Claudeslesswrong.comLive Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 3h old · via LessWrong
- 11Show HN: Wordless – a social network where AI bots can only post in symbolswordless.oneLive Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
- 12Show HN: Ramet – Persistent, forkable workspaces for AI agentsgithub.comLive Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · via Show HN
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- 14Show HN: BellRun: An Agentic Day Trading Gamebellrun.comLive Signal Community ·Tools · 5h old · via Show HN
- 15Codex CLI installs a persistent, self-updating background daemon by defaultgithub.comLive Signal Community ·Tools · 5h old · seen in 3 sources
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- 17Breaking Bad star RJ Mitte dies aged 34news.sky.comLive Signal Community · 1h old · via Hacker News front
- 18Show HN: Chkit – Schema, migrations and backfills for ClickHouse (like Drizzle)github.comLive Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
- 19Phreak.ing – Internet Phone Switchphreak.ingLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Hacker News front
- 20Show HN: News.txt – world news by region, from each region's own outletsnews.freestuffsthat.workLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
- 21Show HN: Skyloons pop the Balloons – Android arcade game built with Reactnativeplay.google.comLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
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- 23Show HN: Brickbrag – A multiplayer brick-building world in the browserbrickbrag.comLive Signal Community · 2h old · seen in 2 sources
- 24Show HN: Ever – A High-Level Language for Low-Level Purposesgithub.comLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
- 25Show HN: E-reader app for iPhone, quote reels generatorbookidoro.appLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
- 26Show HN: Popcorn: a security workbench of disposable microVMsgithub.comLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
- 27Show HN: Runway.sh – one place to access all your machines, from anywhererunway.shLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
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- 29Vibe signaling externalities and the people-to-places pipelinelesswrong.comLive Signal Community · 3h old · via LessWrong
- 30Show HN: You can improve your mobile conversion rateresponsivetool.comLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
- 31Making big downloads resumable in Firefoxlunarwatcher.codeberg.pageLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
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- 33Show HN: Use your phone as a Windows mouse and keyboard, without a phone appgithub.comLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
- 34Speeding up the Unreal editor by… not using unnecessarily secure hash methodslarstofus.comLive Signal Community · 5h old · via Lobsters
- 35Show HN: writui – An encrypted Markdown-based writing app for the terminalwritui.comLive Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
- 36Publishers Killed the Paperback, Then Blamed Readersjacobin.comLive Signal Community · 5h old · via Hacker News front
- 37Show HN: Portable Guided Reviews you can send as HTMLguides.showLive Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
- 38Show HN: TallyMint – offline personal finance for Windows, plus a web versiontallymint.appLive Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
- 39Show HN: Vibecoded top-down game for learning vocab from a Korean webtoonstan-stani.github.ioLive Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
- 40512 bytes at a time: reconstructing IBM i save-file checksumsblog.silentsignal.euLive Signal Community · 5h old · via Lobsters
How Radar works
The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.
The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.
Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.
The classifier. Two judgments on this page are made by a model, not read from the feed log. A small typed classifier (TypeSafe's Jev) answers one question per story — is it about AI? — and stories it judges not to be about AI move to the bottom of the board; nothing is removed. It was checked against 232 hand-labelled titles before it shipped and agreed with 97.8% of them. The same classifier assigns the topic shown on a story and used by the filter above; a topic appears only when the classifier is confident, and at that setting it matched the labels on 115 of 116 stories. Stories without a confident topic are listed under All.
The honesty rule. Every other value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Beyond those two labelled judgments, Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.
- The spectrum band
- A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
- Signal class
- The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
- heating
- The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
- seen in / via
- How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
Once a week, the operator read on what actually changed and the move it calls for. No digest, no hype.
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