Radar · 2026-10-12

What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.

Radar is a running index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. Every ingest run of the pipeline takes a fresh snapshot — several times a day, on no fixed clock — and the stamp below is the exact time of the one you're reading. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.

frozen 12 Oct 2026, 23:13 UTC · 67/78 feeds live · 17,361 tracked since 12 Jun

Moving now see all 40 ↓
40 tracked · 1 heating · 11 feeds quiet · 0 of 4 stations quiet
  1. 1 Good Evals Are Hard: An ImpossibleBench Audit lesswrong.com · 36m
  2. 2 OpenAI Fires Three Safety Researchers lesswrong.com · 42m
  3. 3 'Employee-like' ≠ Employee-level lesswrong.com · 48m
  4. 4 AI Is a Tool. Using It Well Takes Skill. yyhh.org · 2h
  5. 5 Show HN: Turn spoken thoughts into system design diagrams github.com · 2h
Lead-time spectrum
flow, last 24h · 0 dark
191
Papers
3
Repos
227
Community
19
Analysis

440 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 191 in papers, 3 in repos, 227 in community, 19 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (40 of 40). 1 story is heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 30 observed fires is 2d — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 17h ago: caught in arXiv cs.AI 35d before Lobsters carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 7h.

40
on the board
1
heating
40
new on board
2d
median lead
Latest fires — measured lead
  1. Papers → Community +35d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Lobsters 17h ago
    When LLM Decompilers Recompile More and Preserve Less
  2. Papers → Community +7h lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Show HN 3d ago
    Real Long-Term Memory for AI: A 50-Million-Token Window That Is Faster and Cheaper Than Recompute
  3. Repos → Community +14d lead GitHub Trending Python first · then Hacker News front 6d ago
    superdesigndev/treg
  1. 1
    Good Evals Are Hard: An ImpossibleBench Audit
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Research · 36m old · via LessWrong
  2. 2
    OpenAI Fires Three Safety Researchers
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 42m old · via LessWrong
  3. 3
    'Employee-like' ≠ Employee-level
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 48m old · via LessWrong
  4. 4
    AI Is a Tool. Using It Well Takes Skill.
    yyhh.org
    Live Signal Community ·Practice · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  5. 5
    Show HN: Turn spoken thoughts into system design diagrams
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
  6. 6
    Show HN: 20 Questions with Jev
    thesecretsproject.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  7. 7
    Show HN: Vibecheck – merge gate that checks you understand your AI-written code
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
  8. 8
    Research Lessons I Learned at MATS & Redwood
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Practice · 2h old · via LessWrong
  9. 9
    More people should write basic AI safety explainers
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 2h old · via LessWrong
  10. 10
    Anthropic Has Told The World Little About Their Rogue Claudes
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 3h old · via LessWrong
  11. 11
    Show HN: Wordless – a social network where AI bots can only post in symbols
    wordless.one
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
  12. 12
    Show HN: Ramet – Persistent, forkable workspaces for AI agents
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · via Show HN
  13. 13
    Introducing OpenFatigue
    openfatigue.ai
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  14. 14
    Show HN: BellRun: An Agentic Day Trading Game
    bellrun.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 5h old · via Show HN
  15. 15
    Codex CLI installs a persistent, self-updating background daemon by default
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 5h old · seen in 3 sources
  16. 16
    A Modern Web App in C
    prophitt.me
    Live Signal Community · 7h old · seen in 4 sources HEATING ×2
  17. 17
    Breaking Bad star RJ Mitte dies aged 34
    news.sky.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Hacker News front
  18. 18
    Show HN: Chkit – Schema, migrations and backfills for ClickHouse (like Drizzle)
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  19. 19
    Phreak.ing – Internet Phone Switch
    phreak.ing
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  20. 20
    Show HN: News.txt – world news by region, from each region's own outlets
    news.freestuffsthat.work
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  21. 21
    Show HN: Skyloons pop the Balloons – Android arcade game built with Reactnative
    play.google.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  22. 22
    Who Is Vfmaddrnd231pd?
    purplesyringa.moe
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  23. 23
    Show HN: Brickbrag – A multiplayer brick-building world in the browser
    brickbrag.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · seen in 2 sources
  24. 24
    Show HN: Ever – A High-Level Language for Low-Level Purposes
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  25. 25
    Show HN: E-reader app for iPhone, quote reels generator
    bookidoro.app
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  26. 26
    Show HN: Popcorn: a security workbench of disposable microVMs
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  27. 27
    Show HN: Runway.sh – one place to access all your machines, from anywhere
    runway.sh
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  28. 28
    Show HN: Yagi, Rust DSP Library
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  29. 29
    Vibe signaling externalities and the people-to-places pipeline
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via LessWrong
  30. 30
    Show HN: You can improve your mobile conversion rate
    responsivetool.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  31. 31
    Making big downloads resumable in Firefox
    lunarwatcher.codeberg.page
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  32. 32
    Show HN: BellRun
    bellrun.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  33. 33
    Show HN: Use your phone as a Windows mouse and keyboard, without a phone app
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  34. 34
    Speeding up the Unreal editor by… not using unnecessarily secure hash methods
    larstofus.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Lobsters
  35. 35
    Show HN: writui – An encrypted Markdown-based writing app for the terminal
    writui.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  36. 36
    Publishers Killed the Paperback, Then Blamed Readers
    jacobin.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Hacker News front
  37. 37
    Show HN: Portable Guided Reviews you can send as HTML
    guides.show
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  38. 38
    Show HN: TallyMint – offline personal finance for Windows, plus a web version
    tallymint.app
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  39. 39
    Show HN: Vibecoded top-down game for learning vocab from a Korean webtoon
    stan-stani.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  40. 40
    512 bytes at a time: reconstructing IBM i save-file checksums
    blog.silentsignal.eu
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Lobsters

How Radar works

The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.

The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.

Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.

The classifier. Two judgments on this page are made by a model, not read from the feed log. A small typed classifier (TypeSafe's Jev) answers one question per story — is it about AI? — and stories it judges not to be about AI move to the bottom of the board; nothing is removed. It was checked against 232 hand-labelled titles before it shipped and agreed with 97.8% of them. The same classifier assigns the topic shown on a story and used by the filter above; a topic appears only when the classifier is confident, and at that setting it matched the labels on 115 of 116 stories. Stories without a confident topic are listed under All.

The honesty rule. Every other value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Beyond those two labelled judgments, Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.

How to read a row
The spectrum band
A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
Signal class
The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
heating
The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
seen in / via
How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
The radar, dated
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