Radar · 2026-08-03

What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.

Radar is an hourly index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.

frozen 3 Aug 2026, 23:29 UTC · 67/78 feeds live · 18,623 tracked since 12 Jun

Lead-time spectrum
flow, last 24h · 0 dark
171
Papers
6
Repos
240
Community
23
Analysis

440 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 171 in papers, 6 in repos, 240 in community, 23 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (40 of 40). 3 stories are heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 24 observed fires is 5h — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 36h ago: caught in arXiv cs.AI 9d before Hacker News front carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 9h.

40
on the board
3
heating
40
new on board
5h
median lead
Latest fires — measured lead
  1. Papers → Community +9d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 36h ago
    Generative AI floods and dilutes the market for books
  2. Community → Analysis +11h lead Hacker News front first · then Dynomight 4d ago
    So you want to use plants to reduce CO₂
  3. Community → Analysis +2h lead Hacker News front first · then Google DeepMind 4d ago
    Gemini Robotics 2 brings whole body intelligence to robots
  1. 1
    Windows XP 2002 for the Itanium: Unbridled rage
    virtuallyfun.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  2. 2
    Celebrating 45 Years of Kermit with the First New C-Kermit Release in 15 Years
    changelog.complete.org
    Live Signal Community · 7h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  3. 3
    Show HN: I built a Neovim plugin to answer questions about your config
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  4. 4
    Show HN: Texpile, an open-source desktop LaTeX editor with a visual mode
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  5. 5
    Attackers Can Subliminally Implant a Backdoor at Low Sample Count Without Prompt Access
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via LessWrong
  6. 6
    Show HN: Use same crypto crime-fighting toolset as top law enforcement agencies
    mcp.caudexcatena.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  7. 7
    Show HN: Leclaude – A little badge for your Claude Code projects
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  8. 8
    ZX Spectrum System Tour: Text Mode
    bumbershootsoft.wordpress.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  9. 9
    Selective Identity
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via LessWrong
  10. 10
    Show HN: Freqcast, an Android radio player that finds streams from a website URL
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  11. 11
    III. Anthropic reasoning has issues with infinite worlds; D-SIA can fix this
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via LessWrong
  12. 12
    Show HN: Snapix – Mac screenshot app that puts every capture on your clipboard
    snapix.app
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  13. 13
    LLMs reward expertise
    seangoedecke.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · seen in 3 sources
  14. 14
    Show HN: Yaka Clothing
    instagram.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  15. 15
    Show HN: Peko, an End-to-End Platform for Shipping Native Apps
    pekoui.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  16. 16
    Why biological weapons are scary, and what we can do about it
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via LessWrong
  17. 17
    Show HN: Svelte-rs – a Svelte compiler in Rust
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  18. 18
    Show HN: Poker and Liar's Dice over Bluetooth Low Energy
    testco.de
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  19. 19
    Show HN: Dashboard for UniFi Up-AirQuality Sensor
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  20. 20
    Show HN: Fetchcheck – send a signed crawler to any site and see if it gets in
    sitedex.dev
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  21. 21
    Show HN: Simple mobile app to share your ID, not your identity
    anonymizemyid.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  22. 22
    help wanted
    lake.computer
    Live Signal Community · 9h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  23. 23
    Show HN: Mirall – Secure large (terabyte) file transfer. No cloud. No middleman
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  24. 24
    Deliberate Alignment Faking as a Defense Against Model Poisoning
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via LessWrong
  25. 25
    AI's debt binge can't last, hidden borrowing reaches $1.65T
    fortune.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  26. 26
    Show HN: Polars-fastjson (parse billion of JSON rows in polars)
    guywaldman.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  27. 27
    DDoS against Norwegian government IT infrastructure – status
    status.digdir.no
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  28. 28
    Show HN: AxiomCore – a Claude plugin that keeps your projects structured
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  29. 29
    Twenty Years of Pandoc
    pandoc.org
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Lobsters
  30. 30
    Show HN: Yet Another OpenCode Plugin
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  31. 31
    The Dunning-Kruger effect may just be a data artefact (2020)
    mcgill.ca
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  32. 32
    Show HN: Keystroke – open sourcing our internal agents and automations platform
    news.ycombinator.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  33. 33
    Show HN: MoneyCo – A coding agent built for accounting
    thecompany.money
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  34. 34
    OpenAI’s Unreleased Model Astra Solves Ten Major Open Mathematics Problems
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via LessWrong
  35. 35
    KisakCOD – open-source reimplementation of Call of Duty 4 Multiplayer
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Hacker News front
  36. 36
    Show HN: City-wise comparison of Bribes across India – bribes.fyi
    bribes.fyi
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  37. 37
    Branchless Rust: Making a Filter 4x Faster by Removing an if
    greyblake.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Lobsters
  38. 38
    Slack, and Slack Again, but Less
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via LessWrong
  39. 39
    Coming of a New Sun
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via LessWrong
  40. 40
    Show HN: Open-source book format for instant translations and Android app
    tbook.dev
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN

How Radar works

The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.

The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.

Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.

The honesty rule. Every value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.

How to read a row
The spectrum band
A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
Signal class
The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
heating
The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
seen in / via
How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
The radar, dated
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