Radar · 2026-08-04

What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.

Radar is an hourly index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.

frozen 4 Aug 2026, 23:28 UTC · 67/78 feeds live · 18,816 tracked since 12 Jun

Moving now see all 40 ↓
40 tracked · 4 heating · 11 feeds quiet · 0 of 4 stations quiet
  1. 1 We finally learned to center a div, then browsers added sidebars seg6.space · 1h
  2. 2 Third-party cyber evaluations involving OpenAI models openai.com · 5h
  3. 3 Security is Hard, Y’all textslashplain.com · 5h
  4. 4 Why I think we live in a "simulation" lesswrong.com · 48m
  5. 5 v2.1.222 github.com · 48m
Lead-time spectrum
flow, last 24h · 0 dark
369
Papers
11
Repos
266
Community
36
Analysis

682 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 369 in papers, 11 in repos, 266 in community, 36 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (38 of 40). 4 stories are heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 24 observed fires is 5h — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 2d ago: caught in arXiv cs.AI 9d before Hacker News front carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 26h.

40
on the board
4
heating
40
new on board
5h
median lead
Latest fires — measured lead
  1. Papers → Community +9d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 2d ago
    Generative AI floods and dilutes the market for books
  2. Community → Analysis +11h lead Hacker News front first · then Dynomight 5d ago
    So you want to use plants to reduce CO₂
  3. Community → Analysis +2h lead Hacker News front first · then Google DeepMind 5d ago
    Gemini Robotics 2 brings whole body intelligence to robots
  1. 1
    We finally learned to center a div, then browsers added sidebars
    seg6.space
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  2. 2
    Third-party cyber evaluations involving OpenAI models
    openai.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  3. 3
    Security is Hard, Y’all
    textslashplain.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  4. 4
    Why I think we live in a "simulation"
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 48m old · via LessWrong
  5. 5
    v2.1.222
    github.com
    Live Signal Repos · 48m old · via Claude Code releases
  6. 6
    Show HN: SIMD Viterbi Decoder in Rust
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 54m old · via Show HN
  7. 7
    Show HN: Hinode – Cloud Linux desktop with a dedicated GPU that auto-pauses
    hinode.run
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  8. 8
    Returning to ARC
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · seen in 2 sources
  9. 9
    Show HN: AI product evaluation methodoloy at huby
    news.ycombinator.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  10. 10
    DuckDB – Data power tools for your laptop, now in Clojure (2023)
    techascent.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Hacker News front
  11. 11
    Geometric Rationality acts linearly in additive scenarios
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via LessWrong
  12. 12
    AI fuels more than half of cybercrime in Africa as scams surge – Interpol
    africanews.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Hacker News front
  13. 13
    Show HN: Pleasantries
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  14. 14
    Show HN: Sign language translation with smart glasses
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  15. 15
    Show HN: I gave my video editor an MCP server so Claude can edit videos for me
    shorz.ai
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  16. 16
    Show HN: All-in-one gamedev toolkit for indie creators
    reactorcoregames.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  17. 17
    designing a query system
    bal-e.org
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Lobsters
  18. 18
    Show HN: Yanes, yet another NES audio plugin:LinuxCLAP polyphonic chiptune synth
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  19. 19
    Show HN: Movie scores from what people say when nobody's asking
    skipthecritics.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  20. 20
    Show HN: A search engine for VPS servers with an automatic crawler pipeline
    vpspricetracker.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  21. 21
    Show HN: Mcpscore – validate any MCP server compliance with a new MCP version
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  22. 22
    Thanks FedEx, This Is Why We Keep Getting Phished (2024)
    troyhunt.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  23. 23
    Show HN: Watchfire, an open-source control room for AI coding agents
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  24. 24
    Show HN: LLC Compliance Monitor
    fernway.io
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  25. 25
    Show HN: Is the Moon Full?
    isthemoonfull.neocities.org
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  26. 26
    Gwern reties from fulltime writing to launch Guardian Angel Inc
    twitter.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  27. 27
    nixpkgs has a due-process problem
    domenkozar.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Lobsters
  28. 28
    Most donors get risk wrong
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via LessWrong
  29. 29
    Show HN: Hardware-software co-design for MoE models to bypass NCCL bottlenecks
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  30. 30
    Show HN: Hyperlane – A IDE and ADE merging agent worktrees with native tooling
    hyperlaneide.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  31. 31
    irken: A tiny hackable full-featured IRC client
    codeberg.org
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Lobsters
  32. 32
    Does Your LLM Trust You?
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via LessWrong
  33. 33
    Born Against, or why hobby programming communities are aggressively against LLM usage
    blog.fogus.me
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Lobsters
  34. 34
    Show HN: Visual AI Tutoring in the Browser
    useknowable.ai
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  35. 35
    Oxide Computer raises $445M (SEC Form D)
    sec.gov
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  36. 36
    Show HN: My tool scanned 256 AI-built apps and most had exposed credentials
    necktochoke.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  37. 37
    Show HN: It's a Plan – a self-hosted, open-source alternative to Linear
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  38. 38
    Show HN: Recruiting/interview tool for recs, hiring managers and interviewers
    toprec.io
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  39. 39
    Apple is getting this wrong
    openai.com
    AI Firehose Analysis · 26h old · seen in 3 sources HEATING ×2
  40. 40
    Show HN: Extractor.sh – simple, affordable Firecrawl alternative
    extractor.sh
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN

How Radar works

The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.

The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.

Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.

The honesty rule. Every value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.

How to read a row
The spectrum band
A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
Signal class
The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
heating
The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
seen in / via
How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
The radar, dated
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