Radar · 2026-09-28

What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.

Radar is a running index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. Every ingest run of the pipeline takes a fresh snapshot — several times a day, on no fixed clock — and the stamp below is the exact time of the one you're reading. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.

frozen 28 Sept 2026, 22:12 UTC · 67/78 feeds live · 16,376 tracked since 12 Jun

Lead-time spectrum
flow, last 24h · 0 dark
229
Papers
5
Repos
214
Community
19
Analysis

467 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 229 in papers, 5 in repos, 214 in community, 19 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (38 of 40). 2 stories are heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 26 observed fires is 34h — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 32h ago: caught in arXiv cs.AI 4d before Hacker News front carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 5d.

40
on the board
2
heating
39
new on board
34h
median lead
Latest fires — measured lead
  1. Papers → Community +4d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 32h ago
    "As a Language Model...": Chat Template Switches LLM Self-Referential Voice and Activation Steering Reproduces It
  2. Papers → Community +32d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Lobsters 48h ago
    AI Agents Push Humans Out of the Loop
  3. Papers → Community +6h lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Show HN 3d ago
    Hard Stop: Kernel-Level Preemption and Containment for Rogue Agentic Execution
  1. 1
    Show HN: What a VM for your AI agent costs across 13 sandbox providers
    vm-price-board.sf.tools
    Live Signal Community ·Business · 42m old · via Show HN
  2. 2
    Show HN: A never-ending chess match between Claude and Codex
    claudevcodex.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  3. 3
    Show HN: LogPhase – See a PR's blast radius as impacted user journeys
    logphase.ai
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
  4. 4
    Jeff – Jev-compatible 0.8B decision models, trained at home, ~30 ms
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Models · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  5. 5
    World Labs Is Joining AMD
    worldlabs.ai
    Live Signal Community ·Business · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  6. 6
    Fixed-weight models are adversarially vulnerable: hence misaligned
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 2h old · via LessWrong
  7. 7
    The Alignment Community Is Unintentionally Building a Censor's Toolkit
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 2h old · via LessWrong
  8. 8
    It’s Time to Investigate the AI Labs
    calnewport.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 8h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  9. 9
    Show HN: Add hourly schedules to your ChatGPT Ads
    campaignhours.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
  10. 10
    Show HN: DeltaReview – AI-powered code diff analysis tool
    delta-review.vercel.app
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
  11. 11
    MicroLLM Lab – Try 7 tiny LLM's in the browser
    stateofutopia.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  12. 12
    Show HN: Semloop – Semantic loop detection for AI agent traces
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
  13. 13
    Show HN: Hinge MCP
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · via Show HN
  14. 14
    The likely outcome of an AI pause is that we unpause too early and everyone dies
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 4h old · via LessWrong
  15. 15
    Show HN: Nibia Fabric – Turn everyday computers into a shared AI compute cluster
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  16. 16
    v2.1.284
    github.com
    Live Signal Repos ·Tools · 4h old · via Claude Code releases
  17. 17
    AI: cognitive labor glut + new guys
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Business · 4h old · via LessWrong
  18. 18
    Show HN: Serverless, cheater-proof MTG engine using zero-knowledge play
    chiplis.com
    Live Signal Community · 48m old · via Show HN
  19. 19
    Show HN: Divot.css – a simple skeuomorphic button style
    nlaz.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  20. 20
    Palantir founder purchases large swath of forest in Sweden
    arctictoday.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Hacker News front
  21. 21
    Show HN: Forge Tools
    forgehw.dev
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  22. 22
    Show HN: Trade Lord, inspired by Drug Lord 2, quick daily leaderboard game
    tradelord.theboyvr.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  23. 23
    State of the (Tagged) Union Address by Andrew Kelley
    youtube.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Lobsters
  24. 24
    Best of British Design
    best-of-british-design.vercel.app
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  25. 25
    Even if others are less responsible you can still make things worse
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via LessWrong
  26. 26
    Scientists solve 1840s space weather mystery
    arstechnica.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  27. 27
    SB 923 is Law: CCPA deletion rights now reach third-party data
    getprivisy.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  28. 28
    Does Georgism Work? Five Years Later
    astralcodexten.com
    Contrarian Analysis · 5d old · seen in 3 sources HEATING ×2
  29. 29
    Show HN: Personal Manga / Story Recaps
    terragohan.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  30. 30
    Show HN: Press Start – A Playable Museum of Video Game History
    joeyazizoff.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  31. 31
    First Steps of the PLC Organization – Independent Public Ledger of Credentials
    blog.plcred.org
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  32. 32
    Show HN: The DNS Museum
    dns.museum
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  33. 33
    Show HN: iCli – Postgres health reporter and index optimizer
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  34. 34
    Show HN: Remria – A Cloud Computer OS
    remria.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  35. 35
    My Second End of the World
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via LessWrong
  36. 36
    Show HN: OpenSecurityTraining2
    p.ost2.fyi
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  37. 37
    GrapheneOS – When an app is slow
    blog.wirelessmoves.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  38. 38
    So long Google, and thanks for all the nudes
    lecaro.me
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  39. 39
    Missing markets in executive function
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via LessWrong
  40. 40
    Show HN: Flo State, a fast, minimalist, native Markdown editor for macOS
    flocrivello.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN

How Radar works

The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.

The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.

Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.

The classifier. Two judgments on this page are made by a model, not read from the feed log. A small typed classifier (TypeSafe's Jev) answers one question per story — is it about AI? — and stories it judges not to be about AI move to the bottom of the board; nothing is removed. It was checked against 232 hand-labelled titles before it shipped and agreed with 97.8% of them. The same classifier assigns the topic shown on a story and used by the filter above; a topic appears only when the classifier is confident, and at that setting it matched the labels on 115 of 116 stories. Stories without a confident topic are listed under All.

The honesty rule. Every other value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Beyond those two labelled judgments, Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.

How to read a row
The spectrum band
A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
Signal class
The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
heating
The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
seen in / via
How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
The radar, dated
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