Radar · 2026-09-29

What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.

Radar is a running index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. Every ingest run of the pipeline takes a fresh snapshot — several times a day, on no fixed clock — and the stamp below is the exact time of the one you're reading. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.

frozen 29 Sept 2026, 23:12 UTC · 67/78 feeds live · 16,581 tracked since 12 Jun

Moving now see all 40 ↓
40 tracked · 1 heating · 11 feeds quiet · 0 of 4 stations quiet
  1. 1 The world's best gradual disempowerment model organism: Frontier AI labs lesswrong.com · 18m
  2. 2 Show HN: Tiny chess model, 392 KiB, ~1523 elo github.com · 48m
  3. 3 Show HN: The Activity Monitor for the AI Era cortexformac.com · 1h
  4. 4 An Alternative to Fully-Aligned Swarms lesswrong.com · 1h
  5. 5 How Much Do Reward Hackers Generalize? lesswrong.com · 2h
Lead-time spectrum
flow, last 24h · 0 dark
374
Papers
10
Repos
258
Community
40
Analysis

682 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 374 in papers, 10 in repos, 258 in community, 40 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (39 of 40). 1 story is heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 26 observed fires is 34h — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 2d ago: caught in arXiv cs.AI 4d before Hacker News front carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 4h.

40
on the board
1
heating
40
new on board
34h
median lead
Latest fires — measured lead
  1. Papers → Community +4d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 2d ago
    "As a Language Model...": Chat Template Switches LLM Self-Referential Voice and Activation Steering Reproduces It
  2. Papers → Community +32d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Lobsters 3d ago
    AI Agents Push Humans Out of the Loop
  3. Papers → Community +6h lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Show HN 4d ago
    Hard Stop: Kernel-Level Preemption and Containment for Rogue Agentic Execution
  1. 1
    The world's best gradual disempowerment model organism: Frontier AI labs
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 18m old · via LessWrong
  2. 2
    Show HN: Tiny chess model, 392 KiB, ~1523 elo
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Models · 48m old · via Show HN
  3. 3
    Show HN: The Activity Monitor for the AI Era
    cortexformac.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 1h old · via Show HN
  4. 4
    An Alternative to Fully-Aligned Swarms
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 1h old · via LessWrong
  5. 5
    How Much Do Reward Hackers Generalize?
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 2h old · via LessWrong
  6. 6
    Show HN: Jevia – An outcome-based model router for coding agents
    jevia.dev
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
  7. 7
    Show HN: Universal 3.6 Pro – streaming speech-to-text tuned for voice agents
    assemblyai.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  8. 8
    Show HN: Fab – a fast browser CLI for AI agents
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
  9. 9
    Superintelligence ban, but then what?
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 3h old · via LessWrong
  10. 10
    Show HN: Coding agent agnostic voice meta harness
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · via Show HN
  11. 11
    v2.1.285
    github.com
    Live Signal Repos ·Tools · 4h old · via Claude Code releases
  12. 12
    AI needs $6T in annual revenue to justify data centre boom
    thenationalnews.com
    Live Signal Community ·Business · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  13. 13
    Show HN: TurboGPT: train 22KiB transformer in 13s
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · seen in 2 sources
  14. 14
    Deser: Rethinking Rust Serialization
    lucumr.pocoo.org
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  15. 15
    How our vibe coded website looks like a designer made it
    railcode.dev
    Live Signal Community · 12m old · via Hacker News front
  16. 16
    How to work in a software engineering team (2022)
    kimmosaaskilahti.fi
    Live Signal Community · 36m old · via Lobsters
  17. 17
    Show HN: Mdq (jq for Markdown) CLI to parse, extract, update Markdown files
    npmjs.com
    Live Signal Community · 42m old · via Show HN
  18. 18
    ESPARGOS - ESP-SDR: Raw IQ Capture with Espressif's ESP32 Chips
    espargos.net
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Lobsters
  19. 19
    UnoDOS
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Hacker News front
  20. 20
    Show HN: 5 Early users to get 90% off for life to test calories counter app
    calready.app
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  21. 21
    Show HN: I Measured SPF/DKIM/DMARC on 400 French SMB Domains
    hilarious-starburst-dabca0.netlify.app
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  22. 22
    Show HN: Phyics-Based Dice Roller
    dice.jswidler.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  23. 23
    Show HN: My First Game
    store.steampowered.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  24. 24
    Show HN: A tool site with zero back end – everything runs client-side
    vantorkit.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  25. 25
    Show HN: Web server that lets you build iOS & Android offline apps like BitChat
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  26. 26
    Show HN: Kursal, a decentralized E2E encrypted messenger
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  27. 27
    Two Kinds of SQL Query Builders
    mechanicalrabbit.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Lobsters
  28. 28
    Bryan Caplan vs Effective Altruism
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via LessWrong
  29. 29
    Show HN: Resterm - A terminal-based REST, GraphQL and gRPC client
    resterm.app
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  30. 30
    Show HN: StockDuty – the research layer between market news and your brokerage
    stockduty.xyz
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  31. 31
    The Shell & Email
    machtiani.chat
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Lobsters
  32. 32
    Show HN: An OS for transmission shops that gates the invoice on verification
    baystacker.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  33. 33
    Show HN: Clx 0.4.0 – native compiler for Lua
    samyeyo.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  34. 34
    Show HN: Chow, a FOSS food diary
    chow.fit
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  35. 35
    USPS shuts down site that sold 5M counterfeit postage labels for $2 each
    postalemployeenetwork.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  36. 36
    Memory Companies Have Destroyed the Consumer Market
    gamersnexus.net
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  37. 37
    Galaxy Game – Interim Computer Museum
    icm.museum
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  38. 38
    Against strong decision-theoretic realism
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via LessWrong
  39. 39
    Show HN: Sarala – An open-source WYSIWYG Markdown editor
    sarala.solancer.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  40. 40
    Nura (postmarketOS): The road to daily-drivable mainline phones
    postmarketos.org
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Lobsters

How Radar works

The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.

The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.

Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.

The classifier. Two judgments on this page are made by a model, not read from the feed log. A small typed classifier (TypeSafe's Jev) answers one question per story — is it about AI? — and stories it judges not to be about AI move to the bottom of the board; nothing is removed. It was checked against 232 hand-labelled titles before it shipped and agreed with 97.8% of them. The same classifier assigns the topic shown on a story and used by the filter above; a topic appears only when the classifier is confident, and at that setting it matched the labels on 115 of 116 stories. Stories without a confident topic are listed under All.

The honesty rule. Every other value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Beyond those two labelled judgments, Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.

How to read a row
The spectrum band
A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
Signal class
The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
heating
The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
seen in / via
How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
The radar, dated
Radar shows what's moving. The newsletter tells you what to do about it.

Once a week, the operator read on what actually changed and the move it calls for. No digest, no hype.

Read the newsletter →
Stay close

The next edition lands when this list says it does.

No course. No paywall. Operator playbooks weekly. 10K+ subscribers.