What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.
Radar is a running index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. Every ingest run of the pipeline takes a fresh snapshot — several times a day, on no fixed clock — and the stamp below is the exact time of the one you're reading. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.
frozen 29 Sept 2026, 23:12 UTC · 67/78 feeds live · 16,581 tracked since 12 Jun
- 1 The world's best gradual disempowerment model organism: Frontier AI labs lesswrong.com · 18m
- 2 Show HN: Tiny chess model, 392 KiB, ~1523 elo github.com · 48m
- 3 Show HN: The Activity Monitor for the AI Era cortexformac.com · 1h
- 4 An Alternative to Fully-Aligned Swarms lesswrong.com · 1h
- 5 How Much Do Reward Hackers Generalize? lesswrong.com · 2h
682 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 374 in papers, 10 in repos, 258 in community, 40 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (39 of 40). 1 story is heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 26 observed fires is 34h — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 2d ago: caught in arXiv cs.AI 4d before Hacker News front carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 4h.
- Papers → Community +4d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 2d ago"As a Language Model...": Chat Template Switches LLM Self-Referential Voice and Activation Steering Reproduces It
- Papers → Community +32d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Lobsters 3d agoAI Agents Push Humans Out of the Loop
- Papers → Community +6h lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Show HN 4d agoHard Stop: Kernel-Level Preemption and Containment for Rogue Agentic Execution
- 1The world's best gradual disempowerment model organism: Frontier AI labslesswrong.comLive Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 18m old · via LessWrong
- 2Show HN: Tiny chess model, 392 KiB, ~1523 elogithub.comLive Signal Community ·Models · 48m old · via Show HN
- 3Show HN: The Activity Monitor for the AI Eracortexformac.comLive Signal Community ·Tools · 1h old · via Show HN
- 4An Alternative to Fully-Aligned Swarmslesswrong.comLive Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 1h old · via LessWrong
- 5How Much Do Reward Hackers Generalize?lesswrong.comLive Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 2h old · via LessWrong
- 6Show HN: Jevia – An outcome-based model router for coding agentsjevia.devLive Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
- 7Show HN: Universal 3.6 Pro – streaming speech-to-text tuned for voice agentsassemblyai.comLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
- 8Show HN: Fab – a fast browser CLI for AI agentsgithub.comLive Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
- 9Superintelligence ban, but then what?lesswrong.comLive Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 3h old · via LessWrong
- 10Show HN: Coding agent agnostic voice meta harnessgithub.comLive Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · via Show HN
- 11
- 12AI needs $6T in annual revenue to justify data centre boomthenationalnews.comLive Signal Community ·Business · 4h old · via Hacker News front
- 13Show HN: TurboGPT: train 22KiB transformer in 13sgithub.comLive Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · seen in 2 sources
- 14Deser: Rethinking Rust Serializationlucumr.pocoo.orgLive Signal Community · 1h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
- 15How our vibe coded website looks like a designer made itrailcode.devLive Signal Community · 12m old · via Hacker News front
- 16How to work in a software engineering team (2022)kimmosaaskilahti.fiLive Signal Community · 36m old · via Lobsters
- 17Show HN: Mdq (jq for Markdown) CLI to parse, extract, update Markdown filesnpmjs.comLive Signal Community · 42m old · via Show HN
- 18ESPARGOS - ESP-SDR: Raw IQ Capture with Espressif's ESP32 Chipsespargos.netLive Signal Community · 1h old · via Lobsters
- 19
- 20Show HN: 5 Early users to get 90% off for life to test calories counter appcalready.appLive Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
- 21Show HN: I Measured SPF/DKIM/DMARC on 400 French SMB Domainshilarious-starburst-dabca0.netlify.appLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
- 22
- 23
- 24Show HN: A tool site with zero back end – everything runs client-sidevantorkit.comLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
- 25Show HN: Web server that lets you build iOS & Android offline apps like BitChatgithub.comLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
- 26Show HN: Kursal, a decentralized E2E encrypted messengergithub.comLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
- 27Two Kinds of SQL Query Buildersmechanicalrabbit.github.ioLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Lobsters
- 28
- 29Show HN: Resterm - A terminal-based REST, GraphQL and gRPC clientresterm.appLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
- 30Show HN: StockDuty – the research layer between market news and your brokeragestockduty.xyzLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
- 31
- 32Show HN: An OS for transmission shops that gates the invoice on verificationbaystacker.comLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
- 33Show HN: Clx 0.4.0 – native compiler for Luasamyeyo.github.ioLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
- 34
- 35USPS shuts down site that sold 5M counterfeit postage labels for $2 eachpostalemployeenetwork.comLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
- 36Memory Companies Have Destroyed the Consumer Marketgamersnexus.netLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
- 37Galaxy Game – Interim Computer Museumicm.museumLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
- 38Against strong decision-theoretic realismlesswrong.comLive Signal Community · 4h old · via LessWrong
- 39Show HN: Sarala – An open-source WYSIWYG Markdown editorsarala.solancer.comLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
- 40Nura (postmarketOS): The road to daily-drivable mainline phonespostmarketos.orgLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Lobsters
How Radar works
The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.
The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.
Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.
The classifier. Two judgments on this page are made by a model, not read from the feed log. A small typed classifier (TypeSafe's Jev) answers one question per story — is it about AI? — and stories it judges not to be about AI move to the bottom of the board; nothing is removed. It was checked against 232 hand-labelled titles before it shipped and agreed with 97.8% of them. The same classifier assigns the topic shown on a story and used by the filter above; a topic appears only when the classifier is confident, and at that setting it matched the labels on 115 of 116 stories. Stories without a confident topic are listed under All.
The honesty rule. Every other value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Beyond those two labelled judgments, Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.
- The spectrum band
- A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
- Signal class
- The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
- heating
- The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
- seen in / via
- How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
Once a week, the operator read on what actually changed and the move it calls for. No digest, no hype.
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