Radar · 2026-09-30

What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.

Radar is a running index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. Every ingest run of the pipeline takes a fresh snapshot — several times a day, on no fixed clock — and the stamp below is the exact time of the one you're reading. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.

frozen 30 Sept 2026, 23:55 UTC · 67/78 feeds live · 16,996 tracked since 12 Jun

Moving now see all 40 ↓
40 tracked · 3 heating · 11 feeds quiet · 0 of 4 stations quiet
  1. 1 magnitudedev/magnitude github.com · 6h
  2. 2 A potential post-AGI world government lesswrong.com · 1h
  3. 3 Show HN: DragomanD – local language translator for Linux dragomand.l10n-bg.dev · 2h
  4. 4 Show HN: Certify you wrote it and not AI iwrote.co · 2h
  5. 5 Show HN: Made a digital wall for AI Agents to "tag" tomasmed.dev · 3h
Lead-time spectrum
flow, last 24h · 0 dark
368
Papers
6
Repos
253
Community
24
Analysis

651 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 368 in papers, 6 in repos, 253 in community, 24 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (38 of 40). 3 stories are heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 27 observed fires is 34h — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 5h ago: caught in GitHub Trending weekly 24d before Hacker News front carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 10h.

40
on the board
3
heating
39
new on board
34h
median lead
Latest fires — measured lead
  1. Repos → Community +24d lead GitHub Trending weekly first · then Hacker News front 5h ago
    magnitudedev/magnitude
  2. Papers → Community +4d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 3d ago
    "As a Language Model...": Chat Template Switches LLM Self-Referential Voice and Activation Steering Reproduces It
  3. Papers → Community +32d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Lobsters 4d ago
    AI Agents Push Humans Out of the Loop
  1. 1
    magnitudedev/magnitude
    github.com
    AI Firehose Repos ·Tools · 6h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  2. 2
    A potential post-AGI world government
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 1h old · via LessWrong
  3. 3
    Show HN: DragomanD – local language translator for Linux
    dragomand.l10n-bg.dev
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  4. 4
    Show HN: Certify you wrote it and not AI
    iwrote.co
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
  5. 5
    Show HN: Made a digital wall for AI Agents to "tag"
    tomasmed.dev
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
  6. 6
    Model Hermeneutics: Monitoring Closed-Weight Models with Open-Weight Internals
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 3h old · via LessWrong
  7. 7
    Rather than allow or ban open weights, rethinking access
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 3h old · via LessWrong
  8. 8
    You Can Jailbreak America.gov and Read The Shoggoth's Thoughts
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 4h old · via LessWrong
  9. 9
    Show HN: FGRF v3.0 – Scale-dependent structural probing of LLM weight topologies
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · via Show HN
  10. 10
    Functional Ultrasound Imaging (fUSI) from scratch
    neuroai.science
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  11. 11
    Gemini 4 Argon
    blog.google
    Live Signal Community ·Models · 4h old · seen in 3 sources
  12. 12
    Show HN: Overboard – Mac agent orchestrator with ship captains that spawn agents
    web-production-4f6f5.up.railway.app
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · via Show HN
  13. 13
    Show HN: Jamb AI - Voice Agents for Group Calls
    twitter.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 5h old · via Show HN
  14. 14
    Show HN: Halv cut AI agent cost by 57.1% using Jev
    halv.ai
    Live Signal Community ·Practice · 5h old · via Show HN
  15. 15
    v2.1.286
    github.com
    Live Signal Repos ·Tools · 5h old · via Claude Code releases
  16. 16
    Launching Babel Translation
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via LessWrong
  17. 17
    Show HN: Gatekeeper – Persuade a 34MB Jev-like model to let you into the castle
    gatekeeper.dopp.sh
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 5h old · via Show HN
  18. 18
    EDG C++ Compiler is open source
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  19. 19
    The top secret URSALA, RAQUEL, and FARRAH satellites
    thespacereview.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  20. 20
    Show HN: Another Email Provider - Inbound
    inbound.new
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  21. 21
    Show HN: Real-time raytracing around a black hole
    rivendell.dmitrybrant.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  22. 22
    Show HN: Aartool, Audit a Linux host and see which attack chains are complete
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  23. 23
    Show HN: Preserve.Chat – Turn WhatsApp chats into sharable links
    preserve.chat
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  24. 24
    Show HN: Perspica – A semantic diff for reviewing code
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  25. 25
    Gitea 28.0.0 Is Released
    blog.gitea.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  26. 26
    Show HN: CLI and TUI control for dps150 power supply
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  27. 27
    Show HN : Colour Picker for windows
    apps.microsoft.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  28. 28
    We used a database as a message queue. Now we use Kafka
    tigrisdata.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Lobsters
  29. 29
    Show HN: EtherPK – a notes app where any concept is a Kanban Board (from tasks)
    blog.etherpk.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  30. 30
    Show HN: termkick – a simple, no-clutter native macOS SSH client
    products.n0agi.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  31. 31
    Funding for-profits with charitable dollars
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via LessWrong
  32. 32
    What TLA+ can and can't check
    buttondown.com
    Live Signal Community · 10h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  33. 33
    Finding Bugs
    matklad.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Lobsters
  34. 34
    Show HN: Domainpuff.com – Find memorable domain names within your budget
    domainpuff.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  35. 35
    Dear Software Makers
    blog.jim-nielsen.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  36. 36
    Halfspace experimental IDE for solid modeling with distance fields
    mattkeeter.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  37. 37
    America.gov goes crazy on "play Minecraft"
    america.gov
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  38. 38
    EDG C++ front-end goes public
    edgcpp.org
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Hacker News front
  39. 39
    Surprisingly Complex Waves Reveal the Brain's Inner Workings
    quantamagazine.org
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Hacker News front
  40. 40
    Show HN: Hedwig, a free and open-source alternative to Instantly and Smartlead
    flyhedwig.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN

How Radar works

The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.

The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.

Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.

The classifier. Two judgments on this page are made by a model, not read from the feed log. A small typed classifier (TypeSafe's Jev) answers one question per story — is it about AI? — and stories it judges not to be about AI move to the bottom of the board; nothing is removed. It was checked against 232 hand-labelled titles before it shipped and agreed with 97.8% of them. The same classifier assigns the topic shown on a story and used by the filter above; a topic appears only when the classifier is confident, and at that setting it matched the labels on 115 of 116 stories. Stories without a confident topic are listed under All.

The honesty rule. Every other value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Beyond those two labelled judgments, Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.

How to read a row
The spectrum band
A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
Signal class
The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
heating
The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
seen in / via
How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
The radar, dated
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