Radar · 2026-10-01

What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.

Radar is a running index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. Every ingest run of the pipeline takes a fresh snapshot — several times a day, on no fixed clock — and the stamp below is the exact time of the one you're reading. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.

frozen 1 Oct 2026, 23:56 UTC · 65/78 feeds live · 17,313 tracked since 12 Jun

Lead-time spectrum
flow, last 24h · 0 dark
368
Papers
9
Repos
222
Community
15
Analysis

614 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 368 in papers, 9 in repos, 222 in community, 15 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (39 of 40). 2 stories are heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 28 observed fires is 35h — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 5h ago: caught in arXiv cs.AI 36h before Hacker News front carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 11h.

40
on the board
2
heating
40
new on board
35h
median lead
Latest fires — measured lead
  1. Papers → Community +36h lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 5h ago
    Context Language Models
  2. Repos → Community +24d lead GitHub Trending weekly first · then Hacker News front 29h ago
    magnitudedev/magnitude
  3. Papers → Community +4d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 4d ago
    "As a Language Model...": Chat Template Switches LLM Self-Referential Voice and Activation Steering Reproduces It
  1. 1
    Aweb – Communication for AI Agents
    aweb.ai
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  2. 2
    Show HN: Local-first video intelligence for Mac – find by text, visual, or audio
    orcah.app
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
  3. 3
    Show HN: Graphene – Data analysis toolkit for your coding agent
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
  4. 4
    Show HN: Fumble – keybr, but it learns from everything you type (macOS)
    fumble.alexmcconnell.ie
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  5. 5
    Using Opus 5.5 to discover a new eyewitness record of the dodo
    resobscura.substack.com
    Live Signal Community ·Practice · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  6. 6
    Show HN: Janus – Go binary that runs GGUF models via Vulkan on AMD/Intel/Nvidia
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · seen in 2 sources
  7. 7
    Show HN: HeadWater Volume Ingestion Matrix – a production shortcut
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  8. 8
    Show HN: Premortem – AI agents that red-team your startup idea
    premortem.site
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
  9. 9
    Show HN: HeadWater B2B Data and AI Kit – A Production Architecture Shortcut
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · via Show HN
  10. 10
    Show HN: MoA as Universal IL –> 30yrs from PhD to 5-device validated compiler
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  11. 11
    Show HN: Paper(Local CLI for Agent Debugging)
    news.ycombinator.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · via Show HN
  12. 12
    Pi 1.0
    earendil.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · seen in 2 sources
  13. 13
    Pi Durable
    earendil.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Hacker News front
  14. 14
    Show HN: Ferry – Sync your coding agent setup to remote Linux boxes
    dlhck.github.io
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 5h old · via Show HN
  15. 15
    Show HN: Zsh-codex-assistant: codex session attached to your shell
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 5h old · via Show HN
  16. 16
    We Should be Able to Change our Languages
    jimmyhmiller.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Lobsters
  17. 17
    Book Review: Obsolete
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via LessWrong
  18. 18
    Show HN: D-Engine – deterministic LLM code edits, 42× fewer tokens than an agent
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 5h old · via Show HN
  19. 19
    Evaluating the Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 5h old · via LessWrong
  20. 20
    v2.1.287
    github.com
    Live Signal Repos ·Tools · 5h old · via Claude Code releases
  21. 21
    Show HN: Mutually beneficial agentic Common Law
    peregrini.ai
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  22. 22
    The death of web development education
    molily.de
    Live Signal Community · 7h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  23. 23
    Show HN: PhreshOS – OS for Web Apps
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  24. 24
    Athletic education vs. athletic torment
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via LessWrong
  25. 25
    2026 International Utility Locate Rodeo
    locaterodeo.net
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Hacker News front
  26. 26
    Show HN: A 100% Client-Side HAR Analyzer That Parses Logs in Seconds
    har-analyzer.onlinetool.workers.dev
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  27. 27
    CSS Bed: Classless CSS themes to use as starting points in web development
    cssbed.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  28. 28
    Show HN: DOM-defense – turn your current webpage into a tower defense level
    chromewebstore.google.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  29. 29
    On Social Reality in China
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via LessWrong
  30. 30
    Show HN: Rhun, an open-source code editor written in assembly
    rhun.app
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · seen in 2 sources
  31. 31
    Automatic Transmission – a data-privacy study of connected vehicles
    automatictransmission.khoury.northeastern.edu
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  32. 32
    SvelteKit 3
    svelte.dev
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  33. 33
    ArXiv's Updated Rate Limit Policy
    blog.arxiv.org
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  34. 34
    Show HN: What 482 hospitals charge vs. what insurers pay, from their own files
    billmender.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  35. 35
    Show HN: Cascade, Mac OS window cascade utility
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  36. 36
    Show HN: Crookcooked – Open-source anti-theft alarm for Mac
    crookcooked.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  37. 37
    Oxygen-deprived underwater zones may not be "dead zones" but clue to early life
    agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Hacker News front
  38. 38
    Show HN: PBI Guard – Stop people from messing up your Power BI (you included)
    patens-dev.github.io
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN
  39. 39
    Google breaks promise to provide 10 years of updates to Chromebooks
    osnews.com
    Live Signal Community · 11h old · seen in 4 sources HEATING ×2
  40. 40
    Show HN: Large Print Maker – large-print PDFs generated in the browser
    largeprintmaker.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Show HN

How Radar works

The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.

The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.

Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.

The classifier. Two judgments on this page are made by a model, not read from the feed log. A small typed classifier (TypeSafe's Jev) answers one question per story — is it about AI? — and stories it judges not to be about AI move to the bottom of the board; nothing is removed. It was checked against 232 hand-labelled titles before it shipped and agreed with 97.8% of them. The same classifier assigns the topic shown on a story and used by the filter above; a topic appears only when the classifier is confident, and at that setting it matched the labels on 115 of 116 stories. Stories without a confident topic are listed under All.

The honesty rule. Every other value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Beyond those two labelled judgments, Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.

How to read a row
The spectrum band
A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
Signal class
The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
heating
The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
seen in / via
How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
The radar, dated
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