What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.
Radar is a running index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. Every ingest run of the pipeline takes a fresh snapshot — several times a day, on no fixed clock — and the stamp below is the exact time of the one you're reading. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.
frozen 2 Oct 2026, 23:07 UTC · 66/78 feeds live · 17,384 tracked since 12 Jun
- 1 State of the Field: AI for Epistemics and Coordination lesswrong.com · 48m
- 2 How to apply to AI safety fellowships (and beyond) lesswrong.com · 1h
- 3 Open-sourcing AstaBrief, the fast report-generation model in Asta allenai.org · 2h
- 4 Petrov Day in Cusco, with a candle lesswrong.com · 2h
- 5 Show HN: figma-server, the solution to Figma's hostility towards agents github.com · 2h
562 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 349 in papers, 1 in repos, 184 in community, 28 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (39 of 40). 1 story is heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 29 observed fires is 35h — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 5h ago: caught in arXiv cs.AI 2d before Hacker News front carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 5h.
- Papers → Community +2d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 5h agoTargeting Pivotal Decisions for Credit Assignment in Agentic Reinforcement Learning
- Papers → Community +36h lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 28h agoContext Language Models
- Repos → Community +24d lead GitHub Trending weekly first · then Hacker News front 2d agomagnitudedev/magnitude
- 1State of the Field: AI for Epistemics and Coordinationlesswrong.comLive Signal Community · 48m old · via LessWrong
- 2How to apply to AI safety fellowships (and beyond)lesswrong.comLive Signal Community · 1h old · via LessWrong
- 3Open-sourcing AstaBrief, the fast report-generation model in Astaallenai.orgLive Signal Community ·Models · 2h old · via Hacker News front
- 4
- 5Show HN: figma-server, the solution to Figma's hostility towards agentsgithub.comLive Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
- 6
- 7Show HN: Portus, A Rust Based API/AI/MCP Gatewayportus-gateway.devLive Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
- 8Dialogue with Eliezer Yudkowsky on Neural Networkslesswrong.comLive Signal Community · 3h old · via LessWrong
- 9
- 10Humans are not aligned eitherlesswrong.comLive Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 3h old · via LessWrong
- 11
- 12Show HN: Ask the news – Find relevant news fasternews.svpn.comLive Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
- 13Show HN: Made an open-source Lego AI generatorgithub.comLive Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · seen in 2 sources
- 14Show HN: VeriSigil AI – Cryptographic identity and trust network for AI agentsnews.ycombinator.comLive Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
- 15Show HN: Portable Kokoro TTS binary with g2p, normalizer, lexicon, and guessergithub.comLive Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · via Show HN
- 16A decision theoretic case for AI nicenesslesswrong.comLive Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 4h old · via LessWrong
- 17
- 18Show HN: Open-Source M&A Toolsopensource.mainstreetwealth.aiLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
- 19AI Safety Can't Afford to Pick a Side on Consciousnesslesswrong.comLive Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 5h old · via LessWrong
- 20From the creator of Redis; run LLM locally with ds4dwarfstar.shLive Signal Community ·Tools · 5h old · via Hacker News front
- 21
- 22I got targeted: Trying to get your credentials via a git post-checkout hookfrankwiles.comLive Signal Community · 48m old · via Lobsters
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- 24
- 25Show HN: Cinematic Grade, a real-time GLSL color grade for the Cinnamon desktopgithub.comLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
- 26Show HN: Rank every HN "Who is hiring?" post against your resume, locallygithub.comLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
- 27Show HN: Postmarks – Turn your daily steps into an adventurepostmarks.appLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
- 28Show HN: STUFFED – Online co-op puzzle platformerstuffed.studiod8.comLive Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
- 29
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- 31Updates to Full Disk Access in macOSdeveloper.apple.comLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Lobsters
- 32Show HN: Building a Better Story for Your Brandnews.ycombinator.comLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
- 33Show HN: A lean formalization of From Linearity to Borrowinggithub.comLive Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
- 34
- 35Show HN: Open-source Git server that runs on Cloudflare Workersgithub.comLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
- 36Show HN: Enki – Write GPU compute kernels in pure stable Rustgithub.comLive Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
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- 39Klassik Revives the KDE 3 Desktop on Modern Plasma 6linuxiac.comLive Signal Community · 5h old · via Lobsters
- 40Driving the GDEH0154D67 e-paper display with Rustsgt.hootr.clubLive Signal Community · 5h old · via Lobsters
How Radar works
The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.
The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.
Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.
The classifier. Two judgments on this page are made by a model, not read from the feed log. A small typed classifier (TypeSafe's Jev) answers one question per story — is it about AI? — and stories it judges not to be about AI move to the bottom of the board; nothing is removed. It was checked against 232 hand-labelled titles before it shipped and agreed with 97.8% of them. The same classifier assigns the topic shown on a story and used by the filter above; a topic appears only when the classifier is confident, and at that setting it matched the labels on 115 of 116 stories. Stories without a confident topic are listed under All.
The honesty rule. Every other value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Beyond those two labelled judgments, Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.
- The spectrum band
- A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
- Signal class
- The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
- heating
- The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
- seen in / via
- How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
Once a week, the operator read on what actually changed and the move it calls for. No digest, no hype.
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