Radar · 2026-10-02

What's moving through AI, ranked by lead time.

Radar is a running index of what's moving through the AI ecosystem, ranked by where each story sits on the lead-time gradient: papers become repos become community threads become analysis. Every ingest run of the pipeline takes a fresh snapshot — several times a day, on no fixed clock — and the stamp below is the exact time of the one you're reading. The earlier a story is caught, the more head start you have before the crowd. Every row carries its receipts — which source saw it first, how many independent sources have it, how long ago — so the ranking explains itself. It's the public face of the same pipeline that feeds Vlad's Newsletter.

frozen 2 Oct 2026, 23:07 UTC · 66/78 feeds live · 17,384 tracked since 12 Jun

Lead-time spectrum
flow, last 24h · 0 dark
349
Papers
1
Repos
184
Community
28
Analysis

562 stories entered the watched feeds in the last 24 hours — 349 in papers, 1 in repos, 184 in community, 28 in analysis. The scored board skews to Community (39 of 40). 1 story is heating across independent sources, and the median lead across the ledger's 29 observed fires is 35h — measured, not estimated. Freshest receipt, 5h ago: caught in arXiv cs.AI 2d before Hacker News front carried it. The oldest survivor has held the board for 5h.

40
on the board
1
heating
40
new on board
35h
median lead
Latest fires — measured lead
  1. Papers → Community +2d lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 5h ago
    Targeting Pivotal Decisions for Credit Assignment in Agentic Reinforcement Learning
  2. Papers → Community +36h lead arXiv cs.AI first · then Hacker News front 28h ago
    Context Language Models
  3. Repos → Community +24d lead GitHub Trending weekly first · then Hacker News front 2d ago
    magnitudedev/magnitude
  1. 1
    State of the Field: AI for Epistemics and Coordination
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 48m old · via LessWrong
  2. 2
    How to apply to AI safety fellowships (and beyond)
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via LessWrong
  3. 3
    Open-sourcing AstaBrief, the fast report-generation model in Asta
    allenai.org
    Live Signal Community ·Models · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  4. 4
    Petrov Day in Cusco, with a candle
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via LessWrong
  5. 5
    Show HN: figma-server, the solution to Figma's hostility towards agents
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
  6. 6
    The Harness Is the Company
    blog.sshh.io
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Hacker News front
  7. 7
    Show HN: Portus, A Rust Based API/AI/MCP Gateway
    portus-gateway.dev
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 2h old · via Show HN
  8. 8
    Dialogue with Eliezer Yudkowsky on Neural Networks
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via LessWrong
  9. 9
    Show HN: FB Post Generator
    gemini.google.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
  10. 10
    Humans are not aligned either
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 3h old · via LessWrong
  11. 11
    v2.1.288
    github.com
    Live Signal Repos ·Tools · 3h old · via Claude Code releases
  12. 12
    Show HN: Ask the news – Find relevant news faster
    news.svpn.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
  13. 13
    Show HN: Made an open-source Lego AI generator
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · seen in 2 sources
  14. 14
    Show HN: VeriSigil AI – Cryptographic identity and trust network for AI agents
    news.ycombinator.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 3h old · via Show HN
  15. 15
    Show HN: Portable Kokoro TTS binary with g2p, normalizer, lexicon, and guesser
    github.com
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 4h old · via Show HN
  16. 16
    A decision theoretic case for AI niceness
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 4h old · via LessWrong
  17. 17
    Muse Gadgets
    gadgets.muse.ai
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Hacker News front
  18. 18
    Show HN: Open-Source M&A Tools
    opensource.mainstreetwealth.ai
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  19. 19
    AI Safety Can't Afford to Pick a Side on Consciousness
    lesswrong.com
    Live Signal Community ·Policy & safety · 5h old · via LessWrong
  20. 20
    From the creator of Redis; run LLM locally with ds4
    dwarfstar.sh
    Live Signal Community ·Tools · 5h old · via Hacker News front
  21. 21
    Zig v0.17.0
    ziglang.org
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · seen in 2 sources HEATING ×2
  22. 22
    I got targeted: Trying to get your credentials via a git post-checkout hook
    frankwiles.com
    Live Signal Community · 48m old · via Lobsters
  23. 23
    Lobsters Interview with Sjamaan
    alexalejandre.com
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Lobsters
  24. 24
    Show HN: Pi Durable and Nostr
    gitea.coracle.social
    Live Signal Community · 1h old · via Show HN
  25. 25
    Show HN: Cinematic Grade, a real-time GLSL color grade for the Cinnamon desktop
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  26. 26
    Show HN: Rank every HN "Who is hiring?" post against your resume, locally
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  27. 27
    Show HN: Postmarks – Turn your daily steps into an adventure
    postmarks.app
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  28. 28
    Show HN: STUFFED – Online co-op puzzle platformer
    stuffed.studiod8.com
    Live Signal Community · 2h old · via Show HN
  29. 29
    Keeping Futhark off the GPU
    futhark-lang.org
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Lobsters
  30. 30
    Everyone's Packing Up
    widdershins.verja.net
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Hacker News front
  31. 31
    Updates to Full Disk Access in macOS
    developer.apple.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Lobsters
  32. 32
    Show HN: Building a Better Story for Your Brand
    news.ycombinator.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  33. 33
    Show HN: A lean formalization of From Linearity to Borrowing
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  34. 34
    Show HN: Cligram – Terminal Flowcharts
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 3h old · via Show HN
  35. 35
    Show HN: Open-source Git server that runs on Cloudflare Workers
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  36. 36
    Show HN: Enki – Write GPU compute kernels in pure stable Rust
    github.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Show HN
  37. 37
    Apple Pass Designer
    developer.apple.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · seen in 2 sources
  38. 38
    Microsoft doubles down on Rust
    infoworld.com
    Live Signal Community · 4h old · via Lobsters
  39. 39
    Klassik Revives the KDE 3 Desktop on Modern Plasma 6
    linuxiac.com
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Lobsters
  40. 40
    Driving the GDEH0154D67 e-paper display with Rust
    sgt.hootr.club
    Live Signal Community · 5h old · via Lobsters

How Radar works

The gradient. Stories travel through the AI ecosystem in a rough sequence: they appear first in papers (arXiv, Hugging Face) or repos (GitHub), then surface in community discussion (Hacker News, Lobsters, LessWrong), then get interpreted in analysis (operator newsletters and essays). Radar ranks by where a story sits on that gradient. The earlier it is caught, the more lead time you have before it reaches consensus. The spectrum at the top of the page shows the last 24 hours of that flow — every story that entered the watched feeds, counted at the station where it first appeared.

The score. Each story gets a recency-decayed signal score. Every source tier carries a weight and a half-life, so live signal moves fast and fades fast while analysis sources move slowly and stay relevant longer. A story scores higher when two or more independent source families carry it — corroboration, not popularity, which is why five feeds of the same site count once. A small bonus applies when a story has visibly climbed the gradient. Stories past their tier's maximum age expire from the board.

Heating and lead time. A story is heating when it has surfaced in two or more independent source families. When the same story is observed first at an earlier stage and later at a higher one, Radar records the gap in hours — for example, seen on arXiv fourteen hours before it reached the Hacker News front page. That gap is the reader's lead time, and it is a measured span, never an estimate.

The classifier. Two judgments on this page are made by a model, not read from the feed log. A small typed classifier (TypeSafe's Jev) answers one question per story — is it about AI? — and stories it judges not to be about AI move to the bottom of the board; nothing is removed. It was checked against 232 hand-labelled titles before it shipped and agreed with 97.8% of them. The same classifier assigns the topic shown on a story and used by the filter above; a topic appears only when the classifier is confident, and at that setting it matched the labels on 115 of 116 stories. Stories without a confident topic are listed under All.

The honesty rule. Every other value on this page is an observed fact from the feed log — which source carried a story, when, and how many. Beyond those two labelled judgments, Radar makes no claim about what a story means; that is the newsletter's job. When a reading does not exist yet — no stories heating, nothing upstream — the page says so rather than inventing one.

How to read a row
The spectrum band
A filled flame tick is an early, lead-time-rich stage; a hollow tick is a later stage; a hollow ring on an empty span is a station with nothing on it yet.
Signal class
The tier chip: Live Signal moves fast and decays fast; analysis sources stay relevant longer. The ranker weights each accordingly.
heating
The same story in two or more independent source families — not two feeds of one site.
seen in / via
How many families carried it, or the single source that did.
The radar, dated
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